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302 Salvia Rd
B Composite 70.17
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +3.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$49,900

302 Salvia Rd · Temperance, MI 48133
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,500 sqft · SingleFamily · 41 Days on market
Built 1997 Average condition 3,600 sqft lot $33/sqft · 86% below area $500/mo HOA · 26% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Very nice 3 bedroom manufactured home with 2 full baths, huge living area, large covered deck at rear of home. All appliances can be included with sale of home. This is a manufactured home on a rented lot in Northtowne Meadows mobile home park, which has parks, a community room and an inground pool.

Key facts

  • Covered deck
  • Inground pool
  • Community room

Tags

COVERED DECKCOMMUNITY ROOMINGROUND POOL

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $50k. Condition is rated average.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $662 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $50k).
  • Recommended offer: $48k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#229 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • Bedford Public Schools (suburban): math 33% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #150 of 540 in MI (top 28%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 18% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Market conditions: 41 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 264 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (40 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($66k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $345 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Monroe County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 41 days — a 3% lower offer ($48k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 26% of rent.
Recommended offer $48,403 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 41 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
3.82%
Cap rate
22.21%
Cash-on-cash
56.83%
DSCR
3.53
GRM
2.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$359,443
List price
$49,900
Delta
-86.12%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
8265 Grande Lake Cir 0.16mi 3/2.0 1,562 (+4%) 11mo $345,000 $221 76
8256 Jackman Rd 0.46mi 3/1.5 1,442 (-4%) 1mo $275,000 $191 70
8883 Tanglewood Rd 0.69mi 3/2.0 1,469 (-2%) 1mo $301,000 $205 64
1192 Oakmont Dr 0.56mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,524 (+2%) 7mo $250,000 $164 58
950 Fairfield Ave 0.70mi 3/2.5 1,520 (+1%) 7mo $255,000 $168 58
1127 Oakmont Dr 0.64mi 3/2.0 1,332 (-11%) 0mo $260,000 $195 51
1115 Birchwood Dr 0.71mi 3/1.0 1,472 (-2%) 11mo $286,000 $194 51
8724 Lewis Ave 0.71mi 3/2.0 1,556 (+4%) 16mo $205,000 $132 47
1609 Meadowbrook Way 0.60mi 3/2.0 1,665 (+11%) 9mo $305,000 $183 46
1344 Meadowbrook Way St 0.46mi 3/1.5 1,676 (+12%) 14mo $299,900 $179 45
1625 Meadowbrook Way 0.61mi 3/2.0 1,708 (+14%) 7mo $245,000 $143 43
1103 Birchwood Dr 0.72mi 3/1.5 1,318 (-12%) 10mo $216,000 $164 36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
55.6%
Equity multiple
3.46×
Total profit
$34,393
Equity at exit
$7,440
10-year hold
IRR
60.7%
Equity multiple
7.13×
Total profit
$85,580
Equity at exit
$4,314

Cash invested: $13,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48133

Active inventory
41
Price-to-rent
2.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,907 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$262
Tax est. 1.5%
$62 /mo · $748/yr
Insurance
$21
HOA
$500
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$400
Net cashflow
$662

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,069
Max offer price $49,900
Occupancy floor 60%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $696 -5% $679 +0% $662 +5% $644 +10% $627
Rent -10% $511 -5% $586 +0% $662 +5% $737 +10% $812
Rate -1.0pp $687 -0.5pp $674 base $662 +0.5pp $649 +1.0pp $636

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$12,475
Closing costs
$1,497
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1046 Sanctuary Way Temperance, MI 2.0 2.0 1294 $1,907 $1.47 15d 5 1.02mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$500 · $6,000/yr
Likely covers
pool

Listing history 12 events

  1. 2026-05-15
    status Pending 300-char remark
    Show marketing remark (300 chars)

    Very nice 3 bedroom manufactured home with 2 full baths, huge living area, large covered deck at rear of home. All appliances can be included with sale of home. This is a manufactured home on a rented lot in Northtowne Meadows mobile home park, which has parks, a community room and an inground pool.

  2. 2026-05-15
    status Pending 300-char remark
    Show marketing remark (300 chars)

    Very nice 3 bedroom manufactured home with 2 full baths, huge living area, large covered deck at rear of home. All appliances can be included with sale of home. This is a manufactured home on a rented lot in Northtowne Meadows mobile home park, which has parks, a community room and an inground pool.

  3. 2026-04-20
    status Active 300-char remark
    Show marketing remark (300 chars)

    Very nice 3 bedroom manufactured home with 2 full baths, huge living area, large covered deck at rear of home. All appliances can be included with sale of home. This is a manufactured home on a rented lot in Northtowne Meadows mobile home park, which has parks, a community room and an inground pool.

  4. 2026-04-20
    status Active 300-char remark
    Show marketing remark (300 chars)

    Very nice 3 bedroom manufactured home with 2 full baths, huge living area, large covered deck at rear of home. All appliances can be included with sale of home. This is a manufactured home on a rented lot in Northtowne Meadows mobile home park, which has parks, a community room and an inground pool.

  5. 2026-04-14
    status Pending 300-char remark
    Show marketing remark (300 chars)

    Very nice 3 bedroom manufactured home with 2 full baths, huge living area, large covered deck at rear of home. All appliances can be included with sale of home. This is a manufactured home on a rented lot in Northtowne Meadows mobile home park, which has parks, a community room and an inground pool.

  6. 2026-04-14
    status Pending 300-char remark
    Show marketing remark (300 chars)

    Very nice 3 bedroom manufactured home with 2 full baths, huge living area, large covered deck at rear of home. All appliances can be included with sale of home. This is a manufactured home on a rented lot in Northtowne Meadows mobile home park, which has parks, a community room and an inground pool.

  7. 2026-04-13
    status Active 300-char remark
    Show marketing remark (300 chars)

    Very nice 3 bedroom manufactured home with 2 full baths, huge living area, large covered deck at rear of home. All appliances can be included with sale of home. This is a manufactured home on a rented lot in Northtowne Meadows mobile home park, which has parks, a community room and an inground pool.

  8. 2026-04-13
    status Active 300-char remark
    Show marketing remark (300 chars)

    Very nice 3 bedroom manufactured home with 2 full baths, huge living area, large covered deck at rear of home. All appliances can be included with sale of home. This is a manufactured home on a rented lot in Northtowne Meadows mobile home park, which has parks, a community room and an inground pool.

  9. 2026-03-29
    status Pending 300-char remark
    Show marketing remark (300 chars)

    Very nice 3 bedroom manufactured home with 2 full baths, huge living area, large covered deck at rear of home. All appliances can be included with sale of home. This is a manufactured home on a rented lot in Northtowne Meadows mobile home park, which has parks, a community room and an inground pool.

  10. 2026-03-29
    status Pending 300-char remark
    Show marketing remark (300 chars)

    Very nice 3 bedroom manufactured home with 2 full baths, huge living area, large covered deck at rear of home. All appliances can be included with sale of home. This is a manufactured home on a rented lot in Northtowne Meadows mobile home park, which has parks, a community room and an inground pool.

  11. 2026-03-13
    listed $49,900 Active 300-char remark
    Show marketing remark (300 chars)

    Very nice 3 bedroom manufactured home with 2 full baths, huge living area, large covered deck at rear of home. All appliances can be included with sale of home. This is a manufactured home on a rented lot in Northtowne Meadows mobile home park, which has parks, a community room and an inground pool.

  12. 2026-03-13
    listed $49,900 Active 300-char remark
    Show marketing remark (300 chars)

    Very nice 3 bedroom manufactured home with 2 full baths, huge living area, large covered deck at rear of home. All appliances can be included with sale of home. This is a manufactured home on a rented lot in Northtowne Meadows mobile home park, which has parks, a community room and an inground pool.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,884
− Mortgage interest
−$2,795
− Property taxes
−$748
− Insurance
−$250
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,831
− Management
−$1,831
− HOA
−$6,000
− Depreciation
−$1,452
Taxable income
$7,978
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,915
After-tax cash flow
$6,026/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo

Average 55/100 Cosmetic rehab

This manufactured home is in average condition with some minor repairs and maintenance needed. Painting the interior walls and landscaping can significantly increase its value.

Repairs flagged

  • Minor interior walls/paint — The interior walls and paint show some minor wear.
  • Minor landscaping — The landscaping shows some minor wear and could benefit from some maintenance.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both paint interior walls — Painting interior walls can improve the home's appearance and increase its value.
  • Both landscape — A well-maintained landscape can enhance curb appeal and attract potential buyers or renters.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
interior walls/paint · The interior walls and paint show some minor wear. Minor $500–3,000
landscaping · The landscaping shows some minor wear and could benefit from some maintenance. Minor $500–3,000
Total estimated repair cost · 2 items $1,000–6,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both paint interior walls — Painting interior walls can improve the home's appearance and increase its value.
  • Both landscape — A well-maintained landscape can enhance curb appeal and attract potential buyers or renters.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Bedford Public Schools
NCES district ID
2604470
Math proficiency
33% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
53% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$63,784
Composite
38.22/100
National rank
#4252
State rank
#150 of 540 in MI

Livability — Temperance

Score
72/100
State rank
#229
US rank
#5788

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Temperance, MI
County
Monroe · 31,363 people
City population
20,705
Metro
Monroe, MI
Population (ZIP)
6,711
Household income
$65,867
Rent vs Own
8.5% rent · 91.5% own
Severe rent burden
33.5

Population outlook (Monroe County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
144,439 people
By 2030
140,033 · -3.1%
By 2040
128,408 · -11.1%
By 2050
115,024 · -20.4%
By 2075
87,273 · -39.6%
By 2100
63,110 · -56.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (89%)
Race & ethnicity
White 89% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 11% Romanian 9% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
0%

Political lean MEDSL · Monroe

2024 margin
Strong R (+27.1) · D 35.7% · R 62.9% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-31.5pp toward R · 2008: 4.3pp · 2024: -27.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+27.1 2020: R+22.6 2016: R+22.1 2012: D+1.0 2008: D+4.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -126.33%
Current HPI
152.4502
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
12 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-15 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-15 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2026-04-20 Relisted MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-20 Relisted REALCOMP
  • 2026-04-14 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-14 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2026-04-13 Relisted MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-13 Relisted REALCOMP
  • 2026-03-29 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-03-29 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2026-03-13 Listed $49,900 REALCOMP
  • 2026-03-13 Listed $49,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…