4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,866 sqft ·
Built 1996
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 4 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$4,361/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$3,190
Tax + insurance
−$1,014
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$916
Net cashflow
$-759/mo
Annual
$-9,103/yr
Cap rate
4.80%
Cash-on-cash
-5.34%
DSCR
0.76
1% rule
0.72%
Cash to close
$170,328
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $5k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-759 ($-9k/yr) — negative.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $5k).
Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $18k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 67/100 on livability (#550 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
Palm Beach (suburban): math 46% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #34 of 73 in FL (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: property tax is 182.5% of price.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.7%/yr); 594 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; high-income renter base; 3,974 units permitted in Palm Beach County in 2024 (1,012 in 5+ unit buildings).
Palm Beach County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
8 sale attempts since 28y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
This rent runs 43% of the median local income ($122k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-83FST144RB9GEP
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29