6 bd · 3.0 ba ·
2,284 sqft ·
Built 1949
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 24 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$6,845/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,412
Tax + insurance
−$1,154
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,437
Net cashflow
$1,841/mo
Annual
$22,097/yr
Cap rate
11.10%
Cash-on-cash
17.16%
DSCR
1.76
1% rule
1.49%
Cash to close
$128,800
Investor read
This is a 3 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $460k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($22k/yr) — positive. Per door: $614/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($7k rent vs $460k).
It's been on market 24 days — a 2% lower offer ($453k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $453k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $14k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 71/100 on livability (#224 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
Oakland Unified (urban): math 27% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #1,007 of 1,400 in CA (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Esperanza Elementary (422 students, 96% FRL); Castlemont High (680 students, 98% FRL) — zoned schools average 97% FRL vs 68% district-wide (29 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: property tax is 2.5% of price; built in 1949 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.6%/yr); 192 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 1,742 units permitted in Alameda County in 2024 (856 in 5+ unit buildings).
Alameda County population projected at +34% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
6 sale attempts since 29y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.6% rent growth), your $129k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 11.1% vs local median 2.5% in Oakland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent per unit runs 36% of the median local income ($77k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1949 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: siding
— Severe weathering and peeling
Major: paint
— Severe peeling and discoloration
Major: flooring
— Likely outdated and in poor condition
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· Data 5 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29