13872 N Mardenis Dr W

Indianapolis city (balance), IN 46113

$309,900D

4 bd · 2.5 ba · 2,200 sqft · Built 2020 · SingleFamily · Pending · 118 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $2,409/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,625
• Tax + insurance: −$250
• HOA: −$40
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$506
• Net cashflow: $-13/mo
• Annual: $-152/yr
• Cap rate: 6.24%
• Cash-on-cash: -0.17%
• DSCR: 0.99
• 1% rule: 0.78%
• Cash to close: $86,772

Investor read

• This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $310k.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-13 ($-152/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $308k (0.7% below list).
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $241k (22.3% below list).
• It's been on market 118 days — a 9% lower offer ($282k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $241k (22.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
• Mooresville Consolidated School Corporation (suburban): math 41% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #111 of 301 in IN (top 37%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Zoned schools: Mooresville High School (math 43% / reading 74%, grade C, #60 of 369 statewide, top 16%, 1,404 students, 39% FRL).
• Zoned-school proficiency averages 58% at this address vs 42% district-wide (+16 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Mooresville Consolidated School Corporation average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
• Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.9%/yr); 67 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 330 units permitted in Morgan County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Morgan County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
• 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
• Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 4.4% in Indianapolis city (balance) — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
• This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($84k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Questions for listing agent

• What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
• It's been on market 118 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 22% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
• What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
• Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.