13872 N Mardenis Dr W · Indianapolis city (balance), IN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $717 – $1,331
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 2.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +13.1/30.0
- ARV discount +10.8/15.0
- DSCR +3.9/10.0
- Schools +3.7/10.0
- Rent growth +3.2/5.0
- 1% rule +2.8/10.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$309,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This property features four spacious bedrooms and 2.5 baths, offering an ideal blend of comfort and functionality. The main level boasts a versatile, open-concept living room, perfect for entertaining, with a bright living area that flows seamlessly into the kitchen. Upstairs, you will find four graciously sized bedrooms and a loft, all featuring new carpeting throughout. Schedule your showing today.
Key facts
- 6,229 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 2020
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $310k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-9 ($-110/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $308k (0.5% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $241k (22.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $241k (22.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.3% vs local median 4.4% in Indianapolis city (balance) — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Mooresville Consolidated School Corporation (suburban): math 41% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #111 of 301 in IN (top 37%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Mooresville High School (math 43% / reading 74%, grade C, #60 of 369 statewide, top 16%, 1,404 students, 39% FRL).
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 58% at this address vs 42% district-wide (+16 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Mooresville Consolidated School Corporation average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.9%/yr); 66 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 330 units permitted in Morgan County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($84k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Morgan County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 118 days — a 9% lower offer ($282k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 118 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 22% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.78% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.26%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.13%
- DSCR
- 0.99
- GRM
- 10.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $334,400
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7147 E Rising Sun Cir S | 0.25mi | 4/2.5 | 2,203 (+0%) | 4mo | $320,000 | $145 | 84 |
| 13820 N Cardonia Dr | 0.14mi | 5/2.5 (+1) | 2,203 (+0%) | 13mo | $325,000 | $148 | 77 |
| 13841 N Cardonia Dr | 0.15mi | 4/2.5 | 1,920 (-13%) | 5mo | $105,000 | $55 | 67 |
| 13844 N Cardonia Dr | 0.12mi | 4/2.5 | 1,920 (-13%) | 10mo | $263,000 | $137 | 65 |
| 13874 N Hawkers Hill Dr | 0.22mi | 4/2.5 | 1,900 (-14%) | 3mo | $305,000 | $161 | 65 |
| 7111 E Rising Sun Cir N | 0.16mi | 4/2.5 | 1,924 (-12%) | 8mo | $317,000 | $165 | 65 |
| 7119 E Rising Sun Cir N | 0.17mi | 4/2.5 | 1,903 (-14%) | 9mo | $289,990 | $152 | 62 |
| 13860 N Tiosa Ln | 0.17mi | 4/2.5 | 1,900 (-14%) | 13mo | $320,000 | $168 | 58 |
| 7208 E Rising Sun Cir N | 0.27mi | 4/2.5 | 1,903 (-14%) | 10mo | $304,945 | $160 | 56 |
| 13885 N Rising Sun Cir E | 0.41mi | 5/2.5 (+1) | 1,918 (-13%) | 0mo | $273,000 | $142 | 54 |
| 13777 N Rising Sun Cir E | 0.44mi | 4/2.5 | 1,903 (-14%) | 14mo | $302,999 | $159 | 45 |
| 6360 E Chapel Hill Ct | 0.68mi | 4/2.5 | 2,426 (+10%) | 12mo | $360,000 | $148 | 41 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.88% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -16.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.41×
- Total profit
- $-51,195
- Equity at exit
- $46,207
- IRR
- -8.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.46×
- Total profit
- $-46,939
- Equity at exit
- $26,794
Cash invested: $86,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Indiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 46113
- Home prices YoY
- -13.0%
- Rents YoY
- 2.9%
- Active inventory
- 66
- Price-to-rent
- 10.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,413 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,625
- Tax from tax record
- −$121 /mo · $1,453/yr
- Insurance
- −$129
- HOA
- −$40
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$507
- Net cashflow
- $-9
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $166 | -5% $79 | +0% $-9 | +5% $-97 | +10% $-185 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-200 | -5% $-104 | +0% $-9 | +5% $86 | +10% $181 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $147 | -0.5pp $70 | base $-9 | +0.5pp $-89 | +1.0pp $-171 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $77,475
- Closing costs
- $9,297
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 7 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13857 N Mardenis Dr W Camby, IN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1440 | $1,905 | $1.32 | 25d | 1 | 0.06mi |
| 13823 N Cardonia Dr Camby, IN | 5.0 | 2.5 | 2200 | $2,675 | $1.22 | 19d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 13320 N White Cloud Ct Camby, IN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1911 | $2,000 | $1.05 | 17d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 13134 N Etna Green Dr Camby, IN | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1613 | $1,855 | $1.15 | 17d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 13147 N Becks Grove Ct Camby, IN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1440 | $1,885 | $1.31 | 5d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 8735 Limberlost Ct Camby, IN | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1987 | $1,895 | $0.95 | 18d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 8624 Hosta Way Camby, IN | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1846 | $1,761 | $0.95 | 13d | 1 | 1.46mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $40 · $480/yr
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-04-23status Pending
-
2026-03-05price $309,900
-
2025-12-26$314,900 Active
-
2025-06-26historical
-
2025-06-24status Active
-
2025-05-06historical
-
2025-04-11$309,990 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,453 · $121/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,044 · $170/mo
- Expected delta
- +$590/yr (+$49/mo · 40.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $28,955
- − Mortgage interest
- −$17,359
- − Property taxes
- −$1,453
- − Insurance
- −$1,550
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,316
- − Management
- −$2,316
- − HOA
- −$480
- − Depreciation
- −$9,015
- Taxable loss
- −$5,535
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,328
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,218/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Mooresville Consolidated School Corporation
- NCES district ID
- 1807140
- Math proficiency
- 41% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $59,316
- Composite
- 37.04/100
- National rank
- #4511
- State rank
- #111 of 301 in IN
Livability — Indianapolis city (balance)
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- County
- Marion County · 998,460 people
- City population
- 881,119
- Metro
- Indianapolis-Carmel-Anderson, IN
- Population (ZIP)
- 17,192
- Household income
- $84,463
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 201.0
Population outlook (Morgan County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 71,081 people
- By 2030
- 71,178 · +0.1%
- By 2040
- 69,907 · -1.7%
- By 2050
- 66,455 · -6.5%
- By 2075
- 57,291 · -19.4%
- By 2100
- 43,782 · -38.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (73%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 73% Black 16% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 5% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 5% French/Haitian/Cajun 5%
Political lean MEDSL · Morgan
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+54.3) · D 22.0% · R 76.3% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -27.3pp toward R · 2008: -27.1pp · 2024: -54.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+54.3 2020: R+54.6 2016: R+56.6 2012: R+41.1 2008: R+27.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -33.73%
- Current HPI
- 225.185
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.88%
- Metro
- Indianapolis-Carmel-Anderson, IN
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.90%
- F500 in state
- 18
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $37B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $177B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $18B |
|
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| Agriculture | 1 | $17B |
|
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| Packaging | 1 | $12B |
|
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Price history
-0.0% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-23 Pending — MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-05 Price Changed $309,900 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-12-26 Listed $314,900 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-06-26 Listing Removed — MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-06-24 Relisted — MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-05-06 Listing Removed — MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-04-11 Listed $309,990 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+210.9%/yrLatest (2025): $1,453 · +0.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…