4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,040 sqft ·
Built 1960
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 1312 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,878/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$753
Tax + insurance
−$246
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$394
Net cashflow
$485/mo
Annual
$5,821/yr
Cap rate
10.35%
Cash-on-cash
14.49%
DSCR
1.64
1% rule
1.31%
Cash to close
$40,180
Investor read
This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $144k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $485 ($6k/yr) — positive. Per door: $243/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $144k).
It's been on market 1312 days — a 12% lower offer ($126k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $126k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $992 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 67/100 on livability (#532 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
Fort Stockton ISD (town): math 23% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #709 of 826 in TX (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Fort Stockton Apache El (math 32% / reading 32%, grade F, #2,268 of 4,322 statewide, top 55%, 333 students, 81% FRL); Fort Stockton Middle (math 15% / reading 23%, grade F, #1,466 of 1,662 statewide, top 89%, 515 students, 59% FRL); Fort Stockton High (math 27% / reading 29%, grade F, #1,170 of 1,632 statewide, top 72%, 698 students, 71% FRL).
Market conditions: 108 active listings in the ZIP; 10 units permitted in Pecos County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).
Pecos County population projected at +25% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
5 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $40k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 1312 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-85CZ52044VX6GQ
· Data 12 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29