5 bd · 2.0 ba ·
2,038 sqft ·
Built 1900
· MultiFamily
· Pending
· 42 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$4,160/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,888
Tax + insurance
−$875
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$874
Net cashflow
$524/mo
Annual
$6,285/yr
Cap rate
8.04%
Cash-on-cash
6.23%
DSCR
1.28
1% rule
1.16%
Cash to close
$100,800
Investor read
This is a 1×2bd/1ba + 1×3bd/1ba units multifamily listed at $360k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $524 ($6k/yr) — positive. Per door: $262/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $360k).
It's been on market 42 days — a 3% lower offer ($349k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $349k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $11k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 82/100 on livability (#74 in NY, #1,143 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-.
Kingston City School District (urban): math 44% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #355 of 590 in NY (top 60%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Kingston High School (math 94% / reading 91%, grade A+, #153 of 1,100 statewide, top 14%, 1,856 students, 85% FRL) — zoned schools average 85% FRL vs 45% district-wide (40 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 92% at this address vs 52% district-wide (+41 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Kingston City School District average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.8%/yr); 225 active listings in the ZIP; 464 units permitted in Ulster County in 2024 (170 in 5+ unit buildings).
Ulster County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.8% rent growth), your $101k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 8.0% vs local median 3.0% in Kingston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $4,160/mo this rent would consume 72% of the median local household income ($69k/yr) (locally 2045% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 42 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-85T8A0DTBJVKFG
· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29