3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,066 sqft ·
Built 1967
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 5 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,645/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$970
Tax + insurance
−$260
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$345
Net cashflow
$69/mo
Annual
$832/yr
Cap rate
6.74%
Cash-on-cash
1.61%
DSCR
1.07
1% rule
0.89%
Cash to close
$51,800
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $185k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $69 ($832/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $165k (11.1% below list).
Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $165k (11.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 73/100 on livability (#82 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety B+; Watch: crime C-, amenities D+, commute F.
Hazelwood (suburban): math 11% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #306 of 324 in MO (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Cold Water Elem. (math 8% / reading 22%, grade F, #982 of 1,115 statewide, top 89%, 384 students, 68% FRL); North Middle (math 16% / reading 28%, grade F, #332 of 391 statewide, top 86%, 674 students, 55% FRL); Hazelwood Central High (math 12% / reading 33%, grade F, #455 of 521 statewide, top 88%, 1,628 students, 52% FRL).
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.3%/yr); 271 active listings in the ZIP; 30 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 14d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 920 units permitted in St. Louis County in 2024 (250 in 5+ unit buildings).
Current owner paid $100k; list at $185k implies a 85% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1967 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-85ZAHWDFP59TMD
· Data 2 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29