2 bd · 1.5 ba ·
980 sqft ·
Built 1994
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 94 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$876/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$126
Tax + insurance
−$40
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$184
Net cashflow
$527/mo
Annual
$6,319/yr
Cap rate
32.62%
Cash-on-cash
94.03%
DSCR
5.18
1% rule
3.65%
Cash to close
$6,720
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $24k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $527 ($6k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($876 rent vs $24k).
It's been on market 94 days — a 9% lower offer ($22k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $22k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $166 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $720 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 64/100 on livability (#702 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety B; Watch: employment D+, crime D, schools F.
Westville CUSD 2 (suburban): math 8% / reading 9% proficiency, ranked #590 of 620 in IL (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.9%/yr); 14 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 8 units permitted in Vermilion County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Vermilion County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.9% rent growth), your $7k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 94 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-86E3M78TDTHKSZ
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29