300 Spelter Ave · Tilton, IL
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Rent growth +4.2/5.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Schools +0.8/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$24,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Move right in to this beautifully updated 2 bedroom, 1.5 bath home that combines modern finishes with comfortable living! Fresh flooring runs throughout the home, creating a clean and cohesive feel. The spacious living room offers plenty of room to relax or entertain, while the updated eat-in kitchen provides great functionality and style. The large primary bedroom features a private full bathroom for added comfort and convenience. Updated modern light fixtures throughout the home add the perfect finishing touch to this move-in ready property!
Key facts
- Fresh flooring
- Updated home
- Spacious living room
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $24k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $527 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($876 rent vs $24k).
- Recommended offer: $22k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#702 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety B; Watch: employment D+, crime D, schools F.
- Westville CUSD 2 (suburban): math 8% / reading 9% proficiency, ranked #590 of 620 in IL (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.9%/yr); 14 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 8 units permitted in Vermilion County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $166 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $720 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Vermilion County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.9% rent growth), your $7k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 94 days — a 9% lower offer ($22k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 94 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.65% ✓
- Cap rate
- 32.62%
- Cash-on-cash
- 94.03%
- DSCR
- 5.18
- GRM
- 2.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $62,863
- List price
- $24,000
- Delta
- -61.82%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 18 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 40 Juliana Dr | 0.42mi | 2/1.0 | 901 (-8%) | 9mo | $71,000 | $79 | 58 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.89% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 99.2%
- Equity multiple
- 5.94×
- Total profit
- $33,226
- Equity at exit
- $3,578
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 14.10×
- Total profit
- $88,020
- Equity at exit
- $2,075
Cash invested: $6,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 61832
- Home prices YoY
- -19.8%
- Rents YoY
- 6.9%
- Active inventory
- 14
- Price-to-rent
- 2.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $876 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$126
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$30 /mo · $360/yr
- Insurance
- −$10
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$184
- Net cashflow
- $527
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $543 | -5% $535 | +0% $527 | +5% $518 | +10% $510 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $457 | -5% $492 | +0% $527 | +5% $561 | +10% $596 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $539 | -0.5pp $533 | base $527 | +0.5pp $520 | +1.0pp $514 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $6,000
- Closing costs
- $720
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 59 Juliana Dr Danville, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $995 | $0.99 | 6d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 202 Hegler Ln Unit 4 Danville, IL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 550 | $735 | $1.34 | 44d | 1 | 0.53mi |
Listing history 19 events
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2026-06-19days on market $24,000 Active 94 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $24,000 Active 93 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $24,000 Active 92 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $24,000 Active 91 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $24,000 Active 90 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $24,000 Active 88 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $24,000 Active 87 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $24,000 Active 85 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $24,000 Active 84 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $24,000 Active 83 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $24,000 Active 82 DOM
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2026-06-05days on market $24,000 Active 79 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $24,000 Active 78 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $24,000 Active 77 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $24,000 Active 76 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $24,000 Active 75 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $24,000 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-04-03price $30,500 549-char remark
Show marketing remark (549 chars)
Move right in to this beautifully updated 2 bedroom, 1.5 bath home that combines modern finishes with comfortable living! Fresh flooring runs throughout the home, creating a clean and cohesive feel. The spacious living room offers plenty of room to relax or entertain, while the updated eat-in kitchen provides great functionality and style. The large primary bedroom features a private full bathroom for added comfort and convenience. Updated modern light fixtures throughout the home add the perfect finishing touch to this move-in ready property!
-
2026-03-13$37,500 Active 549-char remark
Show marketing remark (549 chars)
Move right in to this beautifully updated 2 bedroom, 1.5 bath home that combines modern finishes with comfortable living! Fresh flooring runs throughout the home, creating a clean and cohesive feel. The spacious living room offers plenty of room to relax or entertain, while the updated eat-in kitchen provides great functionality and style. The large primary bedroom features a private full bathroom for added comfort and convenience. Updated modern light fixtures throughout the home add the perfect finishing touch to this move-in ready property!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $10,518
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,344
- − Property taxes
- −$360
- − Insurance
- −$120
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$841
- − Management
- −$841
- − Depreciation
- −$698
- Taxable income
- $6,312
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,515
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,804/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This move-in ready property features updated finishes and a clean, cohesive interior, making it an attractive option for both buyers and renters.
Value-add opportunities
- Both painting — fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics
- Both landscaping — improved landscaping can increase curb appeal and property value
- Both minor repairs — small repairs can address any minor issues and improve the home's condition
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both painting — fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
- Both landscaping — improved landscaping can increase curb appeal and property value ↑
- Both minor repairs — small repairs can address any minor issues and improve the home's condition ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Westville CUSD 2
- NCES district ID
- 1710820
- Math proficiency
- 8% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 9% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,214
- Composite
- 7.54/100
- National rank
- #9949
- State rank
- #590 of 620 in IL
Livability — Tilton
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #702
- US rank
- #14326
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Tilton, IL
- County
- Vermilion County · 32,450 people
- City population
- 1,730
- Metro
- Danville, IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 32,450
- Household income
- $47,332
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1149.0
Population outlook (Vermilion County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 72,775 people
- By 2030
- 69,235 · -4.9%
- By 2040
- 62,360 · -14.3%
- By 2050
- 55,539 · -23.7%
- By 2075
- 40,606 · -44.2%
- By 2100
- 26,985 · -62.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (61%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 61% Black 29% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 5% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1% Romanian 1% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Vermilion
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+35.7) · D 31.4% · R 67.0% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -36.2pp toward R · 2008: 0.6pp · 2024: -35.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+35.7 2020: R+32.9 2016: R+29.2 2012: R+15.7 2008: D+0.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -37.99%
- Current HPI
- 154.2616
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.89%
- Metro
- Danville, IL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
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| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
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Price history
-18.7% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-03 Price Changed $30,500 CIBR
- 2026-03-13 Listed $37,500 CIBR
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…