3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,680 sqft ·
Built 1991
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 155 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,219/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$472
Tax + insurance
−$190
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$256
Net cashflow
$301/mo
Annual
$3,613/yr
Cap rate
11.98%
Cash-on-cash
20.30%
DSCR
1.90
1% rule
1.35%
Cash to close
$25,200
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $90k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $301 ($4k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $90k).
It's been on market 155 days — a 12% lower offer ($79k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $79k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $6k of equity ($622 loan paydown + $6k appreciation (6.5% local appreciation)).
Location reads 63/100 on livability (#222 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: crime D+, amenities F, commute F.
Butner (rural): math 10% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #475 of 513 in OK (top 93%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Butner Es (math 12% / reading 17%, grade F, #604 of 845 statewide, top 76%, 141 students, 0% FRL); Butner Hs (math 10% / reading 10%, grade F, #361 of 447 statewide, top 94%, 60 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 68% district-wide (68 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $125/mo.
Market conditions: 30 active listings in the ZIP; 93 units permitted in Seminole County in 2024 (43 in 5+ unit buildings).
At projected returns (6.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone A (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 12.0% vs local median 4.8% in Seminole — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 155 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
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· Data 6 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29