3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,200 sqft ·
Built 1905
· SingleFamily
· Under Contract
· 6 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,282/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,048
Tax + insurance
−$427
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$479
Net cashflow
$328/mo
Annual
$3,934/yr
Cap rate
8.26%
Cash-on-cash
7.03%
DSCR
1.31
1% rule
1.14%
Cash to close
$55,972
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $200k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $328 ($4k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $200k).
Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 81/100 on livability (#20 in CT, #1,490 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: cost of living C-, amenities D-, commute F.
Berlin School District (suburban): math 47% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #69 of 153 in CT (top 45%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 10% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Berlin High School (math 38% / reading 69%, grade C-, #78 of 194 statewide, top 40%, 858 students, 18% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1905 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 2 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,867 units permitted in Capitol Planning Region in 2024 (1,399 in 5+ unit buildings).
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1905 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-87K76ZFJ38N08Z
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29