284 Main St · Kensington, CT
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $829 – $1,539
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.3/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +7.1/10.0
- 1% rule +6.4/10.0
- Schools +4.8/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$199,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
MULTIPLE OFFERS RECEIVED. HIGHEST AND BEST BY SUNDAY, MAY 3 AT 3PM. Flippers, single-family landlords, people looking to own a home with a chance to create sweat equity; here is your opportunity. This 1200 square foot 3-bedroom home offer original hardwood floors, a classic front porch, a back yard big enough for pets or play, a good-sized primary bedroom with 2 closets, a kitchen pantry closet, a chimney for a wood or pellet stove, a walkout basement that may have finish-able space, and of-course, it is in the very desirable Kensington section of Berlin. Cash, hard money or a renovation loan would be the best way to finance this purchase. Also, zoning may allow for a business to be operate
Key facts
- Walkout basement
- Classic front porch
- 5,662 sq ft lot
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Off-street parking; 2 parking spaces
- Utilities: Public water connected; Public sewer connected; Storm windows; Thermopane windows
- Home design: Single family home
- Construction: Frame construction; Masonry foundation; Blue exterior
- Exterior features: Porch; Deck; Vinyl siding; Asphalt shingle roof
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric range; Microwave; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Hot air heating; Natural gas heat; Electric hot water
- Interior features: 6 total rooms; Full unfinished walk-out basement; Attic with hatch access
- Laundry & utility: Laundry in basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $200k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $328 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $200k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#20 in CT, #1,490 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: cost of living C-, amenities D-, commute F.
- Berlin School District (suburban): math 47% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #69 of 153 in CT (top 45%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 10% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Zoned schools: Berlin High School (math 38% / reading 69%, grade C-, #78 of 194 statewide, top 40%, 858 students, 18% FRL).
- Market conditions: 2 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,867 units permitted in Capitol Planning Region in 2024 (1,399 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1905 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1905 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.14% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.26%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.03%
- DSCR
- 1.31
- GRM
- 7.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $343,520
- List price
- $199,900
- Delta
- -41.81%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 49 Langdon Ct | 0.37mi | 3/1.0 | 1,232 (+3%) | 6mo | $310,000 | $252 | 73 |
| 117 Homecrest Dr | 0.39mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,204 (+0%) | 5mo | $388,050 | $322 | 70 |
| 24 Williams St | 0.28mi | 3/1.0 | 1,102 (-8%) | 5mo | $265,000 | $240 | 70 |
| 53 Boyer St | 0.45mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,188 (-1%) | 5mo | $368,000 | $310 | 66 |
| 72 Briar Patch Dr | 0.34mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,316 (+10%) | 0mo | $449,000 | $341 | 59 |
| 11 York Rd | 0.55mi | 3/1.5 | 1,296 (+8%) | 1mo | $402,200 | $310 | 58 |
| 108 Schultz Rd | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 | 1,144 (-5%) | 6mo | $290,000 | $253 | 55 |
| 31 Glendale Ave | 0.43mi | 3/2.0 | 1,314 (+10%) | 6mo | $325,000 | $247 | 55 |
| 343 Alling St | 0.31mi | 3/2.0 | 1,371 (+14%) | 9mo | $300,000 | $219 | 50 |
| 96 Homecrest Dr | 0.43mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,062 (-12%) | 9mo | $350,000 | $330 | 48 |
| 26 York Rd | 0.57mi | 3/1.0 | 1,042 (-13%) | 7mo | $375,000 | $360 | 46 |
| 58 Towne Dr | 0.60mi | 2/3.0 (-1) | 1,294 (+8%) | 9mo | $340,000 | $263 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -5.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.80×
- Total profit
- $-11,423
- Equity at exit
- $29,806
- IRR
- 4.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.31×
- Total profit
- $17,310
- Equity at exit
- $17,284
Cash invested: $55,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 27 Tenant-Leaning
- State Connecticut
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 06023
- Home prices YoY
- -16.8%
- Active inventory
- 2
- Price-to-rent
- 7.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,282 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,048
- Tax from tax record
- −$343 /mo · $4,119/yr
- Insurance
- −$83
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$479
- Net cashflow
- $328
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $441 | -5% $384 | +0% $328 | +5% $271 | +10% $215 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $148 | -5% $238 | +0% $328 | +5% $418 | +10% $508 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $428 | -0.5pp $379 | base $328 | +0.5pp $276 | +1.0pp $223 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $49,975
- Closing costs
- $5,997
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 9 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1044 Farmington Ave Berlin, CT | 2.0 | 1.0 | 978 | $2,150 | $2.20 | 44d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 20 Condon St Berlin, CT | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1173 | $2,950 | $2.51 | 2d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 20 Condon St Berlin, CT | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1173 | $2,950 | $2.51 | 20d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 131 Clinic Dr Apt 309 New Britain, CT | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,600 | $1.88 | 44d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 123 Clinic Dr Apt 101 New Britain, CT | 2.0 | 1.0 | 825 | $1,600 | $1.94 | 44d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 123 Clinic Dr New Britain, CT | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,700 | $2.00 | 44d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 265 Lincoln St Unit B Kensington, CT | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $2,650 | $3.12 | 44d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 17 Edgewood Ave Apt 203 New Britain, CT | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,350 | $1.69 | 3d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 18 Buell St Unit 1st FL New Britain, CT | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1250 | $1,800 | $1.44 | 44d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-05-04status Under Contract 720-char remark
-
2026-04-28$199,900 Active 720-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CT · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $4,119 · $343/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,198 · $350/mo
- Expected delta
- +$79/yr (+$7/mo · 1.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,382
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,198
- − Property taxes
- −$4,119
- − Insurance
- −$1,000
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,191
- − Management
- −$2,191
- − Depreciation
- −$5,815
- Taxable income
- $869
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$209
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,725/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Berlin School District
- NCES district ID
- 0900210
- Math proficiency
- 47% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 58% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $87,497
- Composite
- 48.4/100
- National rank
- #2136
- State rank
- #69 of 153 in CT
Livability — Kensington
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #20
- US rank
- #1490
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Kensington, CT
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,464
Population outlook (Capitol County) Hauer SSP2
- By 2040
- 1,063,519
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 93% Asian 7%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 39% Lithuanian 6% Russian 4%
- Foreign-born
- 21%
- Languages at home
- 76% English-only · Russian/Polish/Slavic 11% Other Indo-European 9% Vietnamese 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Capitol
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+21.9) · D 60.1% · R 38.2% · Other 1.7%
- All cycles
- 2024: D+21.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -32.21%
- Current HPI
- 159.7236
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.06%
- F500 in state
- 38
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CT)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 4 | $38B |
|
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| Insurance | 3 | $71B |
|
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| Financial Services | 2 | $25B |
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| Transportation / Logistics | 2 | $18B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $247B |
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| Telecommunications | 1 | $55B |
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Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-04 Pending — Smart MLS
- 2026-04-28 Listed $199,900 Smart MLS
Property tax history
+1.8%/yrLatest (2025): $4,119 · +1.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…