3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,188 sqft ·
Built 1992
· Other
· Active
· 37 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,093/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$441
Tax + insurance
−$58
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$230
Net cashflow
$365/mo
Annual
$4,379/yr
Cap rate
11.51%
Cash-on-cash
18.62%
DSCR
1.83
1% rule
1.30%
Cash to close
$23,520
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $84k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $365 ($4k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $84k).
It's been on market 37 days — a 3% lower offer ($81k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $81k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $581 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 77/100 on livability (#34 in MO, #2,977 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A-; Watch: crime C-, commute C-, amenities D.
West Plains R-VII (rural): math 36% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #152 of 324 in MO (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: West Plains Elem. (math 41% / reading 40%, grade F, #525 of 1,115 statewide, top 47%, 766 students, 66% FRL); West Plains Middle (math 33% / reading 39%, grade F, #237 of 391 statewide, top 61%, 611 students, 58% FRL); West Plains Sr. High (math 27% / reading 65%, grade D-, #170 of 521 statewide, top 33%, 1,162 students, 42% FRL) — zoned schools at 55% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: 315 active listings in the ZIP; 53 units permitted in Howell County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Howell County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 11.5% vs local median 3.1% in West Plains — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 37 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-89QFM8FQMDBCZ4
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29