3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,136 sqft ·
Built —
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 70 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$993/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$341
Tax + insurance
−$106
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$209
Net cashflow
$338/mo
Annual
$4,057/yr
Cap rate
12.53%
Cash-on-cash
22.29%
DSCR
1.99
1% rule
1.53%
Cash to close
$18,200
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $65k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $338 ($4k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($993 rent vs $65k).
It's been on market 70 days — a 6% lower offer ($61k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $61k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $2k of equity ($449 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 59/100 on livability (#1,037 in IL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D-, amenities F, commute F.
Southeastern CUSD 337 (rural): math 20% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #375 of 620 in IL (top 60%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Southeastern Elementary School (math 22% / reading 32%, grade F, #749 of 2,056 statewide, top 40%, 251 students, 0% FRL); Southeastern Jr/Sr High School (math 12% / reading 17%, grade F, #479 of 693 statewide, top 71%, 203 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 52% district-wide (52 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Market conditions: 3 active listings in the ZIP.
Hancock County population projected at -30% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 70 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-8AKKKJAPJ21WKA
· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29