4 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,543 sqft ·
Built 1900
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 100 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,584/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$629
Tax + insurance
−$134
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$543
Net cashflow
$1,279/mo
Annual
$15,343/yr
Cap rate
19.09%
Cash-on-cash
45.70%
DSCR
3.03
1% rule
2.16%
Cash to close
$33,572
Investor read
This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $120k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($15k/yr) — positive. Per door: $639/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $120k).
It's been on market 100 days — a 9% lower offer ($109k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $109k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $829 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 68/100 on livability (#540 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: health & safety A+, cost of living A-, housing A-; Watch: amenities C-, crime F, commute F.
Watertown City School District (urban): math 34% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #481 of 590 in NY (top 82%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: North Elementary School (math 32% / reading 62%, grade D-, #1,195 of 2,108 statewide, top 60%, 455 students, 71% FRL); Case Middle School (math 17% / reading 41%, grade F, #566 of 729 statewide, top 78%, 626 students, 70% FRL); Watertown Senior High School (math 89% / reading 92%, grade A+, #231 of 1,100 statewide, top 21%, 1,083 students, 65% FRL) — zoned schools average 69% FRL vs 49% district-wide (20 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+10.0%/yr); 333 active listings in the ZIP; 19 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 140d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 53% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 196 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Jefferson County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 19.1% vs local median 6.1% in Watertown — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 100 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: exterior paint
— Peeling paint
Major: roof
— No visible damage, but paint condition suggests wear
Major: interior walls
— Peeling paint
Major: bathrooms
— No visible condition, but paint condition suggests wear
Major: kitchen
— No visible condition, but paint condition suggests wear
Major: systems
— No visible condition, but paint condition suggests wear
CashFlowRE · CFR-8B0YC11D72HD7S
· Data 2 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29