2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
910 sqft ·
Built 1977
· Manufactured
· Active
· 93 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$883/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$42
Tax + insurance
−$30
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$185
Net cashflow
$625/mo
Annual
$7,504/yr
Cap rate
100.09%
Cash-on-cash
334.99%
DSCR
15.91
1% rule
11.04%
Cash to close
$2,240
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $8k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $625 ($8k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($883 rent vs $8k).
It's been on market 93 days — a 9% lower offer ($7k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $7k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $295 of equity ($55 loan paydown + $240 appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 63/100 on livability (#750 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing B; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities D-.
Watch-outs: property tax is 4.1% of price.
Market conditions: 1 active listings in the ZIP; 783 units permitted in St. Clair County in 2024 (378 in 5+ unit buildings).
St. Clair County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $2k (20%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $2k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 93 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-8CRQ9C3WDHDN9B
· Data 5 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29