239 Ellis Ave

Findlay, OH 45840

$189,900F

2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,092 sqft · Built 1980 · SingleFamily · Coming Soon · 6 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $1,411/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$996
• Tax + insurance: −$210
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$296
• Net cashflow: $-91/mo
• Annual: $-1,093/yr
• Cap rate: 5.72%
• Cash-on-cash: -2.06%
• DSCR: 0.91
• 1% rule: 0.74%
• Cash to close: $53,172

Investor read

• This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $190k.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-91 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $174k (8.5% below list).
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $141k (25.7% below list).
• Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
• Recommended offer: $141k (25.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Location reads 81/100 on livability (#98 in OH, #1,496 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, commute F.
• Findlay City (town): math 56% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #357 of 656 in OH (top 54%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
• Zoned schools: Northview Primary School (math 57% / reading 57%, grade C+, #729 of 1,584 statewide, top 48%, 361 students, 54% FRL); Glenwood Middle School (math 47% / reading 41%, grade D, #484 of 654 statewide, top 74%, 535 students, 45% FRL); Findlay High School (math 51% / reading 60%, grade C, #296 of 781 statewide, top 39%, 1,915 students, 31% FRL).
• Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.7%/yr); 216 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 257 units permitted in Hancock County in 2024 (150 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Hancock County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
• Current owner paid $100k; list at $190k implies a 90% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Questions for listing agent

• What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
• The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
• How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.