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239 Ellis Ave
F Composite 34.05
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +10.7/30.0
  • Schools +4.7/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.9/5.0
  • DSCR +3.1/10.0
  • ARV discount +2.7/15.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.4/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$189,900

239 Ellis Ave · Findlay, OH 45840
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,092 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 6 Days on market
Built 1980 7,100 sqft lot Est $171k · 11% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to your newly renovated 3 bed & 1 bath ranch home with attached 1 car garage along with many modern finishes. New roof with 50 yr transferrable warranty, new carpet & luxury vinyl throughout, new kitchen with quartz counters. Hvac less than 4 years old. Two of the three bedrooms boast walk in closets with the primary offering panoramic exterior views and ample natural light. Fenced in backyard with a shed for extra storage. Viewings available starting 6/23. Open house Wednesday June 24th 5-7 pm. Seller is a licensed realtor in the state of Ohio.

Key facts

  • Quartz counters
  • Ample natural light
  • Modern finishes

Tags

NEWLY RENOVATEDMODERN FINISHESNEW ROOFQUARTZ COUNTERSPANORAMIC EXTERIOR VIEWSAMPLE NATURAL LIGHT

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $190k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-91 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $174k (8.5% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $141k (25.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $141k (25.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 81/100 on livability (#98 in OH, #1,496 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, commute F.
  • Findlay City (town): math 56% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #357 of 656 in OH (top 54%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Northview Primary School (math 57% / reading 57%, grade C+, #729 of 1,584 statewide, top 48%, 361 students, 54% FRL); Glenwood Middle School (math 47% / reading 41%, grade D, #484 of 654 statewide, top 74%, 535 students, 45% FRL); Findlay High School (math 51% / reading 60%, grade C, #296 of 781 statewide, top 39%, 1,915 students, 31% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.7%/yr); 216 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 257 units permitted in Hancock County in 2024 (150 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Hancock County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • Current owner paid $100k; list at $190k implies a 90% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $141,067 (25.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.74%
Cap rate
5.72%
Cash-on-cash
-2.06%
DSCR
0.91
GRM
11.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$171,444
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2419 Hollybrook Dr 0.10mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,107 (+1%) 1mo $255,000 $230 86
2418 Hollybrook Dr 0.07mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,136 (+4%) 1mo $242,000 $213 82
400 Rosewood Ave 0.11mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,026 (-6%) 2mo $180,000 $175 78
430 Mona Ln 0.19mi 3/1.0 (+1) 999 (-8%) 4mo $121,800 $122 68
151 Monroe Ave 0.63mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,152 (+6%) 0mo $172,500 $150 56
145 Madison Ave 0.69mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,125 (+3%) 4mo $156,500 $139 55
120 Stanley Ave 0.30mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,232 (+13%) 5mo $153,000 $124 51
643 Edith Ave 0.48mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,212 (+11%) 5mo $190,000 $157 46
243 Monroe Ave 0.62mi 2/1.0 934 (-14%) 2mo $162,500 $174 45
405 Clifton Ave 0.57mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,236 (+13%) 2mo $162,000 $131 45
528 Rector Ave 0.53mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,221 (+12%) 2mo $188,200 $154 44
2100 Candlewick Dr 0.51mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,218 (+12%) 4mo $195,275 $160 44

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.68% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-17.0%
Equity multiple
0.38×
Total profit
$-32,713
Equity at exit
$28,315
10-year hold
IRR
-5.0%
Equity multiple
0.64×
Total profit
$-19,205
Equity at exit
$16,419

Cash invested: $53,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 45840

Rents YoY
5.7%
Active inventory
216
Price-to-rent
11.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,411 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$996
Tax from tax record
$131 /mo · $1,567/yr
Insurance
$79
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$296
Net cashflow
$-91

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,526
Max offer price $173,806
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $16 -5% $-37 +0% $-91 +5% $-145 +10% $-199
Rent -10% $-203 -5% $-147 +0% $-91 +5% $-35 +10% $20
Rate -1.0pp $5 -0.5pp $-43 base $-91 +0.5pp $-140 +1.0pp $-190

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$47,475
Closing costs
$5,697
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2070 Breckenridge Rd Findlay, OH 2.0 1.0 810 $1,060 $1.31 25d 3 1.31mi
1231 Crystal Glen Blvd Findlay, OH 1.0–2.0 1.0–1.5 753 $1,110 $1.47 15d 13 1.31mi
1001 Heartland Ct Findlay, OH 2.0–3.0 2.0–2.5 1455 $2,200 $1.51 25d 12 1.42mi

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $189,900 Coming Soon 6 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    days on market $189,900 Coming Soon 3 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $189,900 Coming Soon 2 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    remarks 563-char remark
  5. 2026-06-17
    listed $189,900 Coming Soon 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,567 · $131/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,265 · $189/mo
Expected delta
+$698/yr (+$58/mo · 44.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,928
− Mortgage interest
−$10,637
− Property taxes
−$1,567
− Insurance
−$950
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,354
− Management
−$1,354
− Depreciation
−$5,524
Taxable loss
−$4,458
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,070
After-tax cash flow
$-23/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Findlay City
NCES district ID
3910000
Math proficiency
56% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
56% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$45,261
Composite
47.31/100
National rank
#2300
State rank
#357 of 656 in OH

Livability — Findlay

Score
81/100
State rank
#98
US rank
#1496

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Findlay, OH
County
Hancock County · 54,559 people
City population
54,559
Metro
Findlay, OH
Population (ZIP)
54,559
Household income
$68,083
Rent vs Own
34.0% rent · 66.0% own
Severe rent burden
1540.0

Population outlook (Hancock County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
77,526 people
By 2030
77,777 · +0.3%
By 2040
76,976 · -0.7%
By 2050
74,479 · -3.9%
By 2075
65,741 · -15.2%
By 2100
52,942 · -31.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (85%)
Race & ethnicity
White 85% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 5% Asian 2% Black 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Italian 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, China
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Arabic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Hancock

2024 margin
Solid R (+38.4) · D 30.2% · R 68.7% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-15.3pp toward R · 2008: -23.1pp · 2024: -38.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+38.4 2020: R+37.5 2016: R+40.8 2012: R+28.3 2008: R+23.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -250.43%
Current HPI
194.9132
Rent YoY
▲ 5.68%
Metro
Findlay, OH
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+216.5% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-16 Coming Soon $189,900 NORIS
  • 2026-04-29 Sold (Public Records) $100,000 Public Records
  • 2010-12-06 Sold (Public Records) $72,000 Public Records
  • 1991-07-19 Sold (Public Records) $60,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,567 · +9.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…