239 Ellis Ave · Findlay, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +10.7/30.0
- Schools +4.7/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +3.9/5.0
- DSCR +3.1/10.0
- ARV discount +2.7/15.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +2.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$189,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to your newly renovated 3 bed & 1 bath ranch home with attached 1 car garage along with many modern finishes. New roof with 50 yr transferrable warranty, new carpet & luxury vinyl throughout, new kitchen with quartz counters. Hvac less than 4 years old. Two of the three bedrooms boast walk in closets with the primary offering panoramic exterior views and ample natural light. Fenced in backyard with a shed for extra storage. Viewings available starting 6/23. Open house Wednesday June 24th 5-7 pm. Seller is a licensed realtor in the state of Ohio.
Key facts
- Quartz counters
- Ample natural light
- Modern finishes
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $190k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-91 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $174k (8.5% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $141k (25.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $141k (25.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#98 in OH, #1,496 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, commute F.
- Findlay City (town): math 56% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #357 of 656 in OH (top 54%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Northview Primary School (math 57% / reading 57%, grade C+, #729 of 1,584 statewide, top 48%, 361 students, 54% FRL); Glenwood Middle School (math 47% / reading 41%, grade D, #484 of 654 statewide, top 74%, 535 students, 45% FRL); Findlay High School (math 51% / reading 60%, grade C, #296 of 781 statewide, top 39%, 1,915 students, 31% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.7%/yr); 216 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 257 units permitted in Hancock County in 2024 (150 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Hancock County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $100k; list at $190k implies a 90% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.74% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.72%
- Cash-on-cash
- -2.06%
- DSCR
- 0.91
- GRM
- 11.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $171,444
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2419 Hollybrook Dr | 0.10mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,107 (+1%) | 1mo | $255,000 | $230 | 86 |
| 2418 Hollybrook Dr | 0.07mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,136 (+4%) | 1mo | $242,000 | $213 | 82 |
| 400 Rosewood Ave | 0.11mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,026 (-6%) | 2mo | $180,000 | $175 | 78 |
| 430 Mona Ln | 0.19mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 999 (-8%) | 4mo | $121,800 | $122 | 68 |
| 151 Monroe Ave | 0.63mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,152 (+6%) | 0mo | $172,500 | $150 | 56 |
| 145 Madison Ave | 0.69mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,125 (+3%) | 4mo | $156,500 | $139 | 55 |
| 120 Stanley Ave | 0.30mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,232 (+13%) | 5mo | $153,000 | $124 | 51 |
| 643 Edith Ave | 0.48mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,212 (+11%) | 5mo | $190,000 | $157 | 46 |
| 243 Monroe Ave | 0.62mi | 2/1.0 | 934 (-14%) | 2mo | $162,500 | $174 | 45 |
| 405 Clifton Ave | 0.57mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,236 (+13%) | 2mo | $162,000 | $131 | 45 |
| 528 Rector Ave | 0.53mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,221 (+12%) | 2mo | $188,200 | $154 | 44 |
| 2100 Candlewick Dr | 0.51mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,218 (+12%) | 4mo | $195,275 | $160 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.68% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -17.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.38×
- Total profit
- $-32,713
- Equity at exit
- $28,315
- IRR
- -5.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.64×
- Total profit
- $-19,205
- Equity at exit
- $16,419
Cash invested: $53,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 45840
- Rents YoY
- 5.7%
- Active inventory
- 216
- Price-to-rent
- 11.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,411 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$996
- Tax from tax record
- −$131 /mo · $1,567/yr
- Insurance
- −$79
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$296
- Net cashflow
- $-91
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $16 | -5% $-37 | +0% $-91 | +5% $-145 | +10% $-199 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-203 | -5% $-147 | +0% $-91 | +5% $-35 | +10% $20 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $5 | -0.5pp $-43 | base $-91 | +0.5pp $-140 | +1.0pp $-190 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $47,475
- Closing costs
- $5,697
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2070 Breckenridge Rd Findlay, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 810 | $1,060 | $1.31 | 25d | 3 | 1.31mi |
| 1231 Crystal Glen Blvd Findlay, OH | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 753 | $1,110 | $1.47 | 15d | 13 | 1.31mi |
| 1001 Heartland Ct Findlay, OH | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0–2.5 | 1455 | $2,200 | $1.51 | 25d | 12 | 1.42mi |
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-06-22days on market $189,900 Coming Soon 6 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $189,900 Coming Soon 3 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $189,900 Coming Soon 2 DOM
-
2026-06-17remarks 563-char remark
-
2026-06-17$189,900 Coming Soon 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,567 · $131/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,265 · $189/mo
- Expected delta
- +$698/yr (+$58/mo · 44.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,928
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,637
- − Property taxes
- −$1,567
- − Insurance
- −$950
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,354
- − Management
- −$1,354
- − Depreciation
- −$5,524
- Taxable loss
- −$4,458
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,070
- After-tax cash flow
- $-23/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Findlay City
- NCES district ID
- 3910000
- Math proficiency
- 56% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 56% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,261
- Composite
- 47.31/100
- National rank
- #2300
- State rank
- #357 of 656 in OH
Livability — Findlay
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #98
- US rank
- #1496
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Findlay, OH
- County
- Hancock County · 54,559 people
- City population
- 54,559
- Metro
- Findlay, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 54,559
- Household income
- $68,083
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1540.0
Population outlook (Hancock County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 77,526 people
- By 2030
- 77,777 · +0.3%
- By 2040
- 76,976 · -0.7%
- By 2050
- 74,479 · -3.9%
- By 2075
- 65,741 · -15.2%
- By 2100
- 52,942 · -31.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (85%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 85% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 5% Asian 2% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Italian 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Hancock
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+38.4) · D 30.2% · R 68.7% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.3pp toward R · 2008: -23.1pp · 2024: -38.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+38.4 2020: R+37.5 2016: R+40.8 2012: R+28.3 2008: R+23.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -250.43%
- Current HPI
- 194.9132
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.68%
- Metro
- Findlay, OH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
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| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
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Price history
+216.5% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-16 Coming Soon $189,900 NORIS
- 2026-04-29 Sold (Public Records) $100,000 Public Records
- 2010-12-06 Sold (Public Records) $72,000 Public Records
- 1991-07-19 Sold (Public Records) $60,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.4%/yrLatest (2025): $1,567 · +9.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…