3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,296 sqft ·
Built 2012
· Manufactured
· Active
· 207 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$838/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$556
Tax + insurance
−$177
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$176
Net cashflow
$-70/mo
Annual
$-843/yr
Cap rate
5.50%
Cash-on-cash
-2.84%
DSCR
0.87
1% rule
0.79%
Cash to close
$29,680
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $106k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-70 ($-843/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $96k (9.6% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $84k (20.9% below list).
It's been on market 207 days — a 12% lower offer ($93k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $84k (20.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $733 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 65/100 on livability (#667 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, amenities F, commute F.
La Feria ISD (suburban): math 27% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #630 of 826 in TX (top 76%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: C E Vail El (math 12% / reading 22%, grade F, #3,836 of 4,322 statewide, top 91%, 366 students, 95% FRL); W B Green J H (math 24% / reading 35%, grade F, #1,077 of 1,662 statewide, top 66%, 454 students, 85% FRL); La Feria H S (math 32% / reading 52%, grade F, #730 of 1,632 statewide, top 47%, 909 students, 85% FRL) — zoned schools average 88% FRL vs 50% district-wide (39 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: 410 active listings in the ZIP; 30 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 51d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 63% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,326 units permitted in Cameron County in 2024 (503 in 5+ unit buildings).
Cameron County population projected at +3% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.5% vs local median 4.3% in La Feria — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 207 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 21% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
CashFlowRE · CFR-8DK9PM26CGQ6E1
· Data 5 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29