🌊 Lakefront
704 E Palmera Dr Lot 22 and 23 · La Feria, TX
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.24%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +12.3/30.0
- 1% rule +4.0/10.0
- DSCR +3.9/10.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- Appreciation +2.5/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Manufactured-home adj. -4.0
$106,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Well-maintained 3-bed, 2-bath home in 55+ Palmera Estates on two lots (10,000 sq ft total) with nearly acre of space. Features a split-bedroom layout, open living/dining, and a spacious kitchen with breakfast bar, black appliances, ample cabinets—all appliances convey. Separate laundry room with exterior access. Two sheds offer storage and a workshop setup. Concrete driveways, handicap-accessible ramp, and landscaped yard ideal for relaxing or entertaining. HOA: $100/year. Perfect for full-time residents, Winter Texans, or anyone seeking a low-maintenance, flexible property!
Key facts
- Black appliances
- Split-bedroom layout
- Open living dining
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $106k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-70 ($-843/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $96k (9.6% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $84k (20.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $84k (20.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.5% vs local median 4.3% in La Feria — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#667 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, amenities F, commute F.
- La Feria ISD (suburban): math 27% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #630 of 826 in TX (top 76%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: C E Vail El (math 12% / reading 22%, grade F, #3,836 of 4,322 statewide, top 91%, 366 students, 95% FRL); W B Green J H (math 24% / reading 35%, grade F, #1,077 of 1,662 statewide, top 66%, 454 students, 85% FRL); La Feria H S (math 32% / reading 52%, grade F, #730 of 1,632 statewide, top 47%, 909 students, 85% FRL) — zoned schools average 88% FRL vs 50% district-wide (39 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 410 active listings in the ZIP; 30 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 51d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 63% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,326 units permitted in Cameron County in 2024 (503 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $733 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Cameron County population projected at +3% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 207 days — a 12% lower offer ($93k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 207 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 21% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
- What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
- Any water-quality or seasonal algae-bloom issues that affect tenant satisfaction or short-term-rental demand?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.79% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.50%
- Cash-on-cash
- -2.84%
- DSCR
- 0.87
- GRM
- 10.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $128,250
- List price
- $106,000
- Delta
- -17.35%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 1 within 2.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 917 Tangerine Dr | 1.10mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,252 (-3%) | 1mo | $95,000 | $76 | 53 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -21.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.27×
- Total profit
- $-21,638
- Equity at exit
- $15,805
- IRR
- -14.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.17×
- Total profit
- $-24,553
- Equity at exit
- $9,165
Cash invested: $29,680 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 4 active · 1 under contract
- Median asking
- $135,750 ($103/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 73 d
- This list price
- 25% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- -3.7% vs current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 78559
- Home prices YoY
- -6.1%
- Active inventory
- 410
- Price-to-rent
- 10.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $838 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$556
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$132 /mo · $1,590/yr
- Insurance
- −$44
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent leased land?
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$176
- Net cashflow
- $-70
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $3 | -5% $-34 | +0% $-70 | +5% $-107 | +10% $-144 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-136 | -5% $-103 | +0% $-70 | +5% $-37 | +10% $-4 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-17 | -0.5pp $-43 | base $-70 | +0.5pp $-98 | +1.0pp $-126 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $26,500
- Closing costs
- $3,180
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 30 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 910 S Palmera Dr La Feria, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1480 | $900 | $0.61 | 51d | 1 | 0.06mi |
| 508 6th St Unit A La Feria, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 926 | $1,000 | $1.08 | 162d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 405 Lion's Villa Ave Unit 15 La Feria, TX | 2.0 | 1.5 | 992 | $999 | $1.01 | 10d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 405 Lion's Villa Ave Unit 14 La Feria, TX | 2.0 | 1.5 | 992 | $999 | $1.01 | 21d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 300 Cub Cir Unit 8 La Feria, TX | 2.0 | 1.5 | 966 | $1,100 | $1.14 | 1d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 300 Cub Cir Unit 2 La Feria, TX | 2.0 | 1.5 | 966 | $1,050 | $1.09 | 184d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 200 Cub Cir La Feria, TX | 2.0 | 1.5 | 966 | $1,024 | $1.06 | 0d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 213 W Fleetwood Ave La Feria, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1580 | $1,549 | $0.98 | 184d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 312 E Magnolia Ave Unit 2 B La Feria, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,350 | $1.12 | 28d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 317 E Ebony St La Feria, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1432 | $1,650 | $1.15 | 37d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 2001 S Valley Cir Unit C La Feria, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 930 | $950 | $1.02 | 49d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 2328 S Valley Cir Unit A La Feria, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 954 | $1,100 | $1.15 | 184d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 2114 E Valley Cir Unit B La Feria, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 954 | $1,100 | $1.15 | 154d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 2432 S Valley Cir Unit B La Feria, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1149 | $1,275 | $1.11 | 184d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 2226 Summit Rd Unit B La Feria, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 954 | $1,150 | $1.21 | 5d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 2226 Summit Rd La Feria, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 954 | $1,150 | $1.21 | 0d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 2216 E Valley Cir Unit A La Feria, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 954 | $1,080 | $1.13 | 0d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 2332 S Valley Cir Unit A La Feria, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 954 | $1,000 | $1.05 | 154d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 2220 E Valley Cir Unit A La Feria, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 954 | $1,080 | $1.13 | 37d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 2220 E Valley Cir Unit B La Feria, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 954 | $1,080 | $1.13 | 0d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 2425 N Valley Cir Unit B La Feria, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1872 | $1,000 | $0.53 | 184d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 2225 S Valley Cir Unit B La Feria, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 980 | $1,225 | $1.25 | 184d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 2323 N Valley Cir La Feria, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 954 | $1,100 | $1.15 | 36d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 2325 N Valley Cir Unit B La Feria, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 954 | $1,100 | $1.15 | 0d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 2429 Summit Rd Unit B La Feria, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 965 | $1,150 | $1.19 | 162d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 2228 N Valley Cir Unit A La Feria, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 980 | $1,225 | $1.25 | 154d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 2226 N Valley Cir Unit B La Feria, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 980 | $1,225 | $1.25 | 184d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 2326 N Valley Cir Unit B La Feria, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 980 | $1,225 | $1.25 | 184d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 2425 N Valley Cir Unit A La Feria, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1872 | $1,000 | $0.53 | 154d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 315 Brooks Cir N La Feria, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1844 | $1,950 | $1.06 | 0d | 1 | 1.21mi |
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community
- Homeowners association with annual feeSenior community
Exterior
- Security
- Smoke detector(s)
- Utilities
- Public waterPublic sewer
- Home design
- Manufactured homeSingle-story
- Construction
- Manufactured/Mobile construction
- Exterior features
- Composition roofWorkshopLot in a subdivision (Palmera Heights)
Interior
- Flooring
- CarpetLaminate
- Bathrooms
- 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling
- Central heating (electric)Central airCeiling fan(s)
- Interior features
- Electric water heaterCrawl space
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-11-08days on market $106,000 Active 207 DOM
-
2026-11-07days on market $106,000 Active 206 DOM
-
2026-11-06days on market $106,000 Active 205 DOM
-
2026-11-06price $106,000 Active 204 DOM
-
2026-11-05days on market $109,000 Active 204 DOM
-
2026-11-04days on market $109,000 Active 203 DOM
-
2026-11-02days on market $109,000 Active 201 DOM
-
2026-11-01days on market $109,000 Active 200 DOM
-
2026-10-31days on market $109,000 Active 199 DOM
-
2026-10-30days on market $109,000 Active 198 DOM
-
2026-10-29days on market $109,000 Active 197 DOM
-
2026-10-28days on market $109,000 Active 196 DOM
-
2026-10-27days on market $109,000 Active 195 DOM
-
2026-10-26days on market $109,000 Active 194 DOM
-
2026-10-25days on market $109,000 Active 193 DOM
-
2026-10-24days on market $109,000 Active 192 DOM
-
2026-10-23days on market $109,000 Active 191 DOM
-
2026-10-22days on market $109,000 Active 190 DOM
-
2026-10-21days on market $109,000 Active 189 DOM
-
2026-10-20days on market $109,000 Active 188 DOM
-
2026-10-19days on market $109,000 Active 187 DOM
-
2026-10-18days on market $109,000 Active 186 DOM
-
2026-10-17days on market $109,000 Active 185 DOM
-
2026-10-16days on market $109,000 Active 184 DOM
-
2026-10-15days on market $109,000 Active 183 DOM
-
2026-10-14days on market $109,000 Active 182 DOM
-
2026-10-13days on market $109,000 Active 181 DOM
-
2026-10-12days on market $109,000 Active 180 DOM
-
2026-10-11days on market $109,000 Active 179 DOM
-
2026-10-10days on market $109,000 Active 178 DOM
-
2026-10-09days on market $109,000 Active 177 DOM
-
2026-10-08days on market $109,000 Active 176 DOM
-
2026-10-07days on market $109,000 Active 175 DOM
-
2026-10-06days on market $109,000 Active 174 DOM
-
2026-10-05days on market $109,000 Active 173 DOM
-
2026-10-04days on market $109,000 Active 172 DOM
-
2026-10-03days on market $109,000 Active 171 DOM
-
2026-10-02days on market $109,000 Active 170 DOM
-
2026-10-01days on market $109,000 Active 169 DOM
-
2026-09-30days on market $109,000 Active 168 DOM
-
2026-09-29days on market $109,000 Active 167 DOM
-
2026-09-28days on market $109,000 Active 166 DOM
-
2026-09-27days on market $109,000 Active 165 DOM
-
2026-09-26days on market $109,000 Active 164 DOM
-
2026-09-26price $109,000 Active 163 DOM
-
2026-09-25days on market $115,000 Active 163 DOM
-
2026-09-24days on market $115,000 Active 162 DOM
-
2026-09-23days on market $115,000 Active 161 DOM
-
2026-09-22days on market $115,000 Active 160 DOM
-
2026-09-21days on market $115,000 Active 159 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 24% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $10,060
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,938
- − Property taxes
- −$1,590
- − Insurance
- −$530
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$805
- − Management
- −$805
- − Depreciation
- −$3,084
- Taxable loss
- −$2,691
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$646
- After-tax cash flow
- $-197/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This well-maintained 3-bedroom, 2-bath home in a 55+ community offers ample space and low-maintenance living.
Value-add opportunities
- Resale Paint exterior siding — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and property value. ↑
- Rental Replace carpets — Fresh carpets can improve tenant satisfaction and reduce maintenance costs. ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- La Feria ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4826040
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -25.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $33,306
- Composite
- 25.41/100
- National rank
- #7460
- State rank
- #630 of 826 in TX
Livability — La Feria
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #667
- US rank
- #12330
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- La Feria, TX
- County
- Cameron · 441,603 people
- Metro
- Brownsville-Harlingen, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 12,752
- Household income
- $48,117
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 8% of renters
Population outlook (Cameron County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 441,603 people
- By 2030
- 448,113 · +1.5%
- By 2040
- 456,385 · +3.3%
- By 2050
- 456,294 · +3.3%
- By 2075
- 423,851 · -4.0%
- By 2100
- 342,787 · -22.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (91%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 91% Two or more races 35% White 8%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 87%
- Languages at home
- 40% English-only · Spanish 60%
Political lean MEDSL · Cameron
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+5.8) · D 46.7% · R 52.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -34.6pp toward R · 2008: 28.8pp · 2024: -5.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+5.8 2020: D+13.2 2016: D+32.5 2012: D+32.4 2008: D+28.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -12.21%
- Current HPI
- 187.8512
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
||
Price history
-7.8% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-05 Price Changed $118,900 RGVMLS
- 2026-05-01 Price Changed $119,900 RGVMLS
- 2026-04-15 Listed $123,900 RGVMLS
- 2026-03-09 Price Changed $123,900 RGVMLS
- 2026-02-11 Price Changed $124,900 RGVMLS
- 2026-01-01 Price Changed $125,900 RGVMLS
- 2025-09-08 Price Changed $128,900 RGVMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…