3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,184 sqft ·
Built 1969
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 66 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,562/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,248
Tax + insurance
−$397
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$538
Net cashflow
$380/mo
Annual
$4,555/yr
Cap rate
8.21%
Cash-on-cash
6.83%
DSCR
1.30
1% rule
1.08%
Cash to close
$66,640
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $238k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $380 ($5k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $238k).
It's been on market 66 days — a 6% lower offer ($224k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $224k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $25k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $24k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 59/100 on livability (#296 in TN) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A, housing B+; Watch: health & safety C-, schools F, amenities F.
Bledsoe County (rural): math 19% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #104 of 139 in TN (top 75%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 69% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Market conditions: 155 active listings in the ZIP.
Bledsoe County population projected at +36% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $67k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$41k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 8.2% vs local median 4.8% in Pikeville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $2,562/mo this rent would consume 56% of the median local household income ($55k/yr) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 66 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1969 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Moderate: Exterior siding
— The exterior siding shows signs of wear and discoloration.
Moderate: Interior walls/paint
— The interior walls and paint show signs of wear and discoloration.
Moderate: Landscaping
— The landscaping appears overgrown and in need of maintenance.
CashFlowRE · CFR-8DRMWQ0CCSAC6C
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29