4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,730 sqft ·
Built 2025
· Land
· Active
· 129 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,022/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,412
Tax + insurance
−$398
HOA
−$28
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$635
Net cashflow
$-451/mo
Annual
$-5,409/yr
Cap rate
5.12%
Cash-on-cash
-4.20%
DSCR
0.81
1% rule
0.66%
Cash to close
$128,772
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath land listed at $460k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-451 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $380k (17.3% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $302k (34.3% below list).
It's been on market 129 days — a 12% lower offer ($405k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $302k (34.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $14k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 86/100 on livability (#19 in FL, #429 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D.
Leon (urban): math 48% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #33 of 73 in FL (top 45%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Market conditions: 91 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; high-income renter base; 1,765 units permitted in Leon County in 2024 (975 in 5+ unit buildings).
Leon County population projected at +23% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Cap rate 5.1% vs local median 4.2% in Tallahassee — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 129 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 34% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-8DZP20B40JMG1R
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29