3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,204 sqft ·
Built 1973
· Manufactured
· Pending
· 83 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,442/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$277
Tax + insurance
−$49
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$303
Net cashflow
$813/mo
Annual
$9,751/yr
Cap rate
24.73%
Cash-on-cash
65.83%
DSCR
3.93
1% rule
2.73%
Cash to close
$14,812
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $53k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $813 ($10k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $53k).
It's been on market 83 days — a 6% lower offer ($50k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $50k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $6k of equity ($366 loan paydown + $5k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#426 in PA, #3,882 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
Wellsboro Area SD (rural): math 37% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #230 of 539 in PA (top 43%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Don Gill El Sch (math 33% / reading 51%, grade F, #883 of 1,518 statewide, top 61%, 318 students, 55% FRL); Rock L Butler Ms (math 32% / reading 61%, grade D+, #172 of 512 statewide, top 35%, 480 students, 50% FRL); Wellsboro Area Hs (math 77%, 439 students, 45% FRL) — zoned schools average 50% FRL vs 31% district-wide (20 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: 36 active listings in the ZIP; 32 units permitted in Tioga County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Tioga County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
3 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $27k; list at $53k implies a 96% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 83 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-8EDW6W3EYTBK4N
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29