2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,168 sqft ·
Built 1968
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 154 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,009/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$708
Tax + insurance
−$167
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$212
Net cashflow
$-79/mo
Annual
$-944/yr
Cap rate
5.59%
Cash-on-cash
-2.50%
DSCR
0.89
1% rule
0.75%
Cash to close
$37,800
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $135k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-79 ($-944/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $121k (10.3% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $101k (25.3% below list).
It's been on market 154 days — a 12% lower offer ($119k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $101k (25.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $5k of equity ($933 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 64/100 on livability (#623 in IA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, employment D+, amenities F.
Mormon Trail Community School District (rural): math 55% / reading 65% proficiency, ranked #284 of 330 in IA (top 86%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Market conditions: 5 active listings in the ZIP; 6 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Wayne County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $38k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 154 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 25% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1968 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-8EJ92VC629JGSB
· Data 2 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29