3 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,762 sqft ·
Built 1940
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 5 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,417/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$551
Tax + insurance
−$126
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$297
Net cashflow
$442/mo
Annual
$5,306/yr
Cap rate
11.35%
Cash-on-cash
18.05%
DSCR
1.80
1% rule
1.35%
Cash to close
$29,400
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $105k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $442 ($5k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $105k).
Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
In year one you build about $1k of equity ($726 loan paydown + $311 appreciation (0.3% local appreciation)).
Location reads 67/100 on livability (#198 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, schools D+, amenities F.
Richmond R-XVI (town): math 32% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #209 of 324 in MO (top 64%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 99 active listings in the ZIP; 56 units permitted in Ray County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Ray County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts since 18y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (0.3% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $29k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 11.3% vs local median 3.7% in Richmond — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-8F838GFKJ43DP1
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29