4 bd · 2.5 ba ·
1,908 sqft ·
Built 1967
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 41 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,989/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,127
Tax + insurance
−$274
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$418
Net cashflow
$170/mo
Annual
$2,042/yr
Cap rate
7.24%
Cash-on-cash
3.39%
DSCR
1.15
1% rule
0.93%
Cash to close
$60,200
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $215k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $170 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $199k (7.5% below list).
It's been on market 41 days — a 3% lower offer ($209k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $199k (7.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 84/100 on livability (#6 in IN, #676 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime C-, schools D+, employment D+.
Fort Wayne Community Schools (urban): math 22% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #263 of 301 in IN (top 87%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 60% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Market conditions: 101 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,861 units permitted in Allen County in 2024 (576 in 5+ unit buildings).
Allen County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
5 sale attempts since 11y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $152k; 41% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Cap rate 7.2% vs local median 4.8% in Fort Wayne — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($73k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 41 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 7% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1967 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-8G6ZTM2GPJ92VP
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29