6 bd · 4.4 ba ·
2,136 sqft ·
Built 1950
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 42 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,930/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,138
Tax + insurance
−$362
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$615
Net cashflow
$815/mo
Annual
$9,781/yr
Cap rate
10.80%
Cash-on-cash
16.10%
DSCR
1.72
1% rule
1.35%
Cash to close
$60,760
Investor read
This is a 2 × 3-bed/2.2-bath units multifamily listed at $217k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $815 ($10k/yr) — positive. Per door: $408/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $217k).
It's been on market 42 days — a 3% lower offer ($210k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $210k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 73/100 on livability (#71 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime D, amenities F, commute F.
Alamance-Burlington Schools (rural): math 30% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #133 of 178 in NC (top 75%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Eastern Alamance High (math 61% / reading 61%, grade C+, #202 of 535 statewide, top 39%, 1,256 students, 48% FRL) — zoned schools at 48% FRL track the district average.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 61% at this address vs 35% district-wide (+26 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Alamance-Burlington Schools average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.7%/yr); 443 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 2,466 units permitted in Alamance County in 2024 (403 in 5+ unit buildings).
Alamance County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.7% rent growth), your $61k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 22% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 10.8% vs local median 3.0% in Mebane — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 44% of the median local income ($80k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 42 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: electrical
— No electrical work visible
Major: plumbing
— No plumbing work visible
Major: drywall
— Exposed framing and drywall
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· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29