Duplex
106 -108 S 2nd St · Mebane, NC
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $906 – $1,684
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 22.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.5/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.9/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$217,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks
DUPLEX, Investment Opportunity in Downtown Mebane! Bring your vision to this diamond in the rough! Located in a premier Mebane location--steps from the public library and the vibrant downtown social scene--this duplex is ready for a talented builder to take over. Unit 106 features impressive high ceilings and an open-concept living/dining area, with plans for 3 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms. Major progress has been made with the roof, some new windows, siding started, and ductwork for the furnace installed. Unit 108 is a blank canvas, already featuring new floor tile and a bathtub in the bathroom. The buyer will need to secure full permits from the city to complete the electrical, plumbing, and
Key facts
- Premier location
- Bathtub in bathroom
- New floor tile
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Zoned residential; Lot approximately 0.12 acres; Living area listed as 2,136
- HOA & community: No homeowners association
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity available; Water connected
- Home design: Duplex/Triplex building; One level
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Wood siding; Built as a multi-family structure
- Exterior features: Back yard fencing; Storage; Shingle roof
Interior
- Bedrooms: 6 bedrooms (all on the main level)
- Flooring: No finished flooring specified
- Bathrooms: 3 full bathrooms; 3 half bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Laundry closet; Storage
- Laundry & utility: Laundry closet
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 3-bed/2.2-bath units multifamily listed at $217k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $815 ($10k/yr) — positive. Per door: $408/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $217k).
- Recommended offer: $210k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.8% vs local median 3.0% in Mebane — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#71 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime D, amenities F, commute F.
- Alamance-Burlington Schools (rural): math 30% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #133 of 178 in NC (top 75%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Eastern Alamance High (math 61% / reading 61%, grade C+, #202 of 535 statewide, top 39%, 1,256 students, 48% FRL) — zoned schools at 48% FRL track the district average.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 61% at this address vs 35% district-wide (+26 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Alamance-Burlington Schools average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.7%/yr); 443 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 2,466 units permitted in Alamance County in 2024 (403 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 44% of the median local income ($80k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Alamance County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.7% rent growth), your $61k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 42 days — a 3% lower offer ($210k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 22% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 42 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.35% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.80%
- Cash-on-cash
- 16.10%
- DSCR
- 1.72
- GRM
- 6.2
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.67% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 5.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.21×
- Total profit
- $12,923
- Equity at exit
- $32,355
- IRR
- 13.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.03×
- Total profit
- $62,817
- Equity at exit
- $18,762
Cash invested: $60,760 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Carolina
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 27302
- Home prices YoY
- -32.8%
- Rents YoY
- 1.7%
- Active inventory
- 443
- Price-to-rent
- 12.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,930 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,138
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$271 /mo · $3,255/yr
- Insurance
- −$90
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$615
- Net cashflow
- $815
Break-even live
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 3 | 2.2 | $2,930 |
| #1 | 3 | 2.2 | $1,465 |
| #2 | 3 | 2.2 | $1,465 |
| Total (2 units) | $2,930 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $54,250
- Closing costs
- $6,510
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $217,000 Active 42 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $217,000 Active 41 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $217,000 Active 40 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $217,000 Active 39 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $217,000 Active 38 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $217,000 Active 36 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $217,000 Active 35 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $217,000 Active 33 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $217,000 Active 32 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $217,000 Active 31 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $217,000 Active 30 DOM
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2026-06-05days on market $217,000 Active 27 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $217,000 Active 25 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $217,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $217,000 Active 23 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $217,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-05-18price $217,000
-
2026-04-30$267,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 5/10 Major 22% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $35,160
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,155
- − Property taxes
- −$3,255
- − Insurance
- −$1,085
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,813
- − Management
- −$2,813
- − Depreciation
- −$6,313
- Taxable income
- $6,726
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,614
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,166/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This two-unit property is in good condition with extensive renovation needed. The roof, siding, and windows are new, and Unit 108 has new flooring and a bathtub. The electrical and plumbing work is required for habitability and safety.
Repairs flagged
- Major electrical — No electrical work visible
- Major plumbing — No plumbing work visible
- Major drywall — Exposed framing and drywall
Value-add opportunities
- Both Complete electrical and plumbing work — Essential for habitability and safety
- Both Paint interior walls and trim — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
- Both Install flooring in remaining units — Improves living space and rental value
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| electrical · No electrical work visible | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| plumbing · No plumbing work visible | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| drywall · Exposed framing and drywall | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 3 items | $45,000–150,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Complete electrical and plumbing work — Essential for habitability and safety ↑
- Both Paint interior walls and trim — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
- Both Install flooring in remaining units — Improves living space and rental value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Alamance-Burlington Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3700030
- Math proficiency
- 30% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▲ 2.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,359
- Composite
- 29.68/100
- National rank
- #6460
- State rank
- #133 of 178 in NC
Livability — Mebane
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #71
- US rank
- #5365
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Mebane, NC
- County
- Alamance County · 173,369 people
- City population
- 35,418
- Metro
- Burlington, NC
- Population (ZIP)
- 35,418
- Household income
- $79,819
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1122.0
Population outlook (Alamance County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 173,381 people
- By 2030
- 180,609 · +4.2%
- By 2040
- 194,327 · +12.1%
- By 2050
- 206,158 · +18.9%
- By 2075
- 235,665 · +35.9%
- By 2100
- 258,626 · +49.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 63% Black 18% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 9% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 2% Slovak 2% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Spanish 9% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Alamance
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+8.2) · D 45.4% · R 53.5% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +1.1pp toward D · 2008: -9.2pp · 2024: -8.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+8.2 2020: R+8.4 2016: R+12.9 2012: R+14.1 2008: R+9.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -102.06%
- Current HPI
- 208.8854
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.67%
- Metro
- Burlington, NC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 26
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 2 | $213B |
|
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| Retail | 2 | $95B |
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| Industrial Conglomerate | 1 | $38B |
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $35B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $30B |
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| Industrial Machinery | 1 | $19B |
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Price history
-18.7% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-18 Price Changed $217,000 TMLS
- 2026-04-30 Listed $267,000 TMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…