3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
2,060 sqft ·
Built —
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 112 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,395/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,664
Tax + insurance
−$529
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$503
Net cashflow
$-300/mo
Annual
$-3,604/yr
Cap rate
5.16%
Cash-on-cash
-4.06%
DSCR
0.82
1% rule
0.75%
Cash to close
$88,827
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $274k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-300 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $274k (0.0% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $240k (12.6% below list).
It's been on market 112 days — a 9% lower offer ($249k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $240k (12.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 70/100 on livability (#306 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D+, crime D, amenities F.
Three Rivers Community Schools (town): math 37% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #200 of 540 in MI (top 37%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: 178 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 125 units permitted in St. Joseph County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
St. Joseph County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 112 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 13% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-8JK5YDBKTCEFCF
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29