Integrity 2061 V8.1a Plan · Three Rivers, MI
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +8.2/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +3.5/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- 1% rule +2.5/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +2.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$273,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- 2 garage spots
- Listed 112 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Address: Integrity 2061 V8.1a Plan, Three Rivers, MI 49093; Status: Active
- Financial info: List price: $273,900
Exterior
- Parking: 2 total parking spaces; 2-car garage
- Utilities: Natural gas; Central air
- Home design: Plan: Integrity 2061 V8.1a; Single-family plan (new-construction inventory type: Plan)
- Construction: New construction plan (model: Integrity 2061 V8.1a)
- Exterior features: Living area approximately 2060
Interior
- Kitchen: Plan includes standard kitchen (appliances not specified)
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 2 bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas forced-air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Open living area
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $274k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-300 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $274k (0.0% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $240k (12.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $240k (12.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#306 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D+, crime D, amenities F.
- Three Rivers Community Schools (town): math 37% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #200 of 540 in MI (top 37%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 178 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 125 units permitted in St. Joseph County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- St. Joseph County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 112 days — a 9% lower offer ($249k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 112 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 13% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.75% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.16%
- Cash-on-cash
- -4.06%
- DSCR
- 0.82
- GRM
- 11.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $317,240
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1212 Pine St | 0.23mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,072 (+1%) | 2mo | $284,900 | $138 | 81 |
| 610 Arizona Blvd | 0.16mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,072 (+1%) | 9mo | $294,900 | $142 | 79 |
| 1210 Pine St | 0.23mi | 3/3.0 | 2,129 (+3%) | 4mo | $343,130 | $161 | 76 |
| 606 Arizona Blvd | 0.18mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,882 (-9%) | 2mo | $289,900 | $154 | 68 |
| 608 Arizona Blvd | 0.17mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,909 (-7%) | 7mo | $289,900 | $152 | 67 |
| 602 Arizona Blvd | 0.21mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,882 (-9%) | 7mo | $299,900 | $159 | 63 |
| 611 Arizona Blvd | 0.15mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,882 (-9%) | 11mo | $289,900 | $154 | 63 |
| 604 Arizona Blvd | 0.19mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,830 (-11%) | 4mo | $284,900 | $156 | 62 |
| 612 Arizona Blvd | 0.14mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,830 (-11%) | 11mo | $295,230 | $161 | 58 |
| 614 Walnut St | 0.65mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,002 (-3%) | 5mo | $255,000 | $127 | 56 |
| 17294 Mackinaw Rd | 0.71mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,300 (+12%) | 1mo | $265,000 | $115 | 42 |
| 416 Tenth Ave | 0.68mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,768 (-14%) | 8mo | $175,000 | $99 | 33 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -23.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.21×
- Total profit
- $-70,498
- Equity at exit
- $47,302
- IRR
- -17.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.03×
- Total profit
- $-85,872
- Equity at exit
- $27,429
Cash invested: $88,827 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 49093
- Active inventory
- 178
- Price-to-rent
- 9.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,395 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,664
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$397 /mo · $4,759/yr
- Insurance
- −$132
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$503
- Net cashflow
- $-300
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $79,310
- Closing costs
- $9,517
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1645 Garfield Three Rivers, MI | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1810 | $2,395 | $1.32 | 21d | 1 | 0.51mi |
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $273,900 Active 112 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $273,900 Active 111 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $273,900 Active 110 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $273,900 Active 109 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $273,900 Active 107 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $273,900 Active 106 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $273,900 Active 104 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $273,900 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $273,900 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $273,900 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $273,900 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $273,900 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $273,900 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $273,900 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $273,900 Active 94 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $273,900 Active 93 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $28,740
- − Mortgage interest
- −$17,770
- − Property taxes
- −$4,759
- − Insurance
- −$1,586
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,299
- − Management
- −$2,299
- − Depreciation
- −$9,229
- Taxable loss
- −$9,202
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,209
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,395/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Three Rivers Community Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2633840
- Math proficiency
- 37% ▲ 1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,576
- Composite
- 34.97/100
- National rank
- #5058
- State rank
- #200 of 540 in MI
Livability — Three Rivers
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #306
- US rank
- #7604
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Three Rivers, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 18,439
Population outlook (St. Joseph County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 58,726 people
- By 2030
- 57,030 · -2.9%
- By 2040
- 53,266 · -9.3%
- By 2050
- 49,343 · -16.0%
- By 2075
- 40,441 · -31.1%
- By 2100
- 31,981 · -45.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (84%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 84% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 5% Black 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 11% Iranian 5% Romanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Joseph
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+34.0) · D 32.2% · R 66.2% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -31.8pp toward R · 2008: -2.2pp · 2024: -34.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+34.0 2020: R+31.7 2016: R+31.0 2012: R+12.3 2008: R+2.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -159.07%
- Current HPI
- 226.5079
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…