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🏗️ New Construction
F Composite 32.41
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +8.2/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +3.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.5/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +2.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$273,900

Integrity 2061 V8.1a Plan · Three Rivers, MI 49093
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,060 sqft · SingleFamily · 112 Days on market

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Key facts

  • 2 garage spots
  • Listed 112 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Address: Integrity 2061 V8.1a Plan, Three Rivers, MI 49093; Status: Active
  • Financial info: List price: $273,900

Exterior

  • Parking: 2 total parking spaces; 2-car garage
  • Utilities: Natural gas; Central air
  • Home design: Plan: Integrity 2061 V8.1a; Single-family plan (new-construction inventory type: Plan)
  • Construction: New construction plan (model: Integrity 2061 V8.1a)
  • Exterior features: Living area approximately 2060

Interior

  • Kitchen: Plan includes standard kitchen (appliances not specified)
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: 2 bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas forced-air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Open living area

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏗️ New construction. The $273,900 list price is a builder figure, so every metric below is computed on the value from comparable previous sales — $317,240.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $274k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-300 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $274k (0.0% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $240k (12.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $240k (12.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#306 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D+, crime D, amenities F.
  • Three Rivers Community Schools (town): math 37% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #200 of 540 in MI (top 37%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 178 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 125 units permitted in St. Joseph County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • St. Joseph County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 112 days — a 9% lower offer ($249k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $239,500 (12.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 112 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 13% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.75%
Cap rate
5.16%
Cash-on-cash
-4.06%
DSCR
0.82
GRM
11.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$317,240
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1212 Pine St 0.23mi 4/2.0 (+1) 2,072 (+1%) 2mo $284,900 $138 81
610 Arizona Blvd 0.16mi 4/2.0 (+1) 2,072 (+1%) 9mo $294,900 $142 79
1210 Pine St 0.23mi 3/3.0 2,129 (+3%) 4mo $343,130 $161 76
606 Arizona Blvd 0.18mi 4/2.5 (+1) 1,882 (-9%) 2mo $289,900 $154 68
608 Arizona Blvd 0.17mi 4/2.5 (+1) 1,909 (-7%) 7mo $289,900 $152 67
602 Arizona Blvd 0.21mi 4/2.5 (+1) 1,882 (-9%) 7mo $299,900 $159 63
611 Arizona Blvd 0.15mi 4/2.5 (+1) 1,882 (-9%) 11mo $289,900 $154 63
604 Arizona Blvd 0.19mi 4/2.5 (+1) 1,830 (-11%) 4mo $284,900 $156 62
612 Arizona Blvd 0.14mi 4/2.5 (+1) 1,830 (-11%) 11mo $295,230 $161 58
614 Walnut St 0.65mi 4/2.0 (+1) 2,002 (-3%) 5mo $255,000 $127 56
17294 Mackinaw Rd 0.71mi 4/2.0 (+1) 2,300 (+12%) 1mo $265,000 $115 42
416 Tenth Ave 0.68mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,768 (-14%) 8mo $175,000 $99 33

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-23.1%
Equity multiple
0.21×
Total profit
$-70,498
Equity at exit
$47,302
10-year hold
IRR
-17.7%
Equity multiple
0.03×
Total profit
$-85,872
Equity at exit
$27,429

Cash invested: $88,827 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 49093

Active inventory
178
Price-to-rent
9.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,395 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,664
Tax est. 1.5%
$397 /mo · $4,759/yr
Insurance
$132
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$503
Net cashflow
$-300

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,775
Max offer price $273,783
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$79,310
Closing costs
$9,517
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1645 Garfield Three Rivers, MI 4.0 2.5 1810 $2,395 $1.32 21d 1 0.51mi

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $273,900 Active 112 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $273,900 Active 111 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $273,900 Active 110 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $273,900 Active 109 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $273,900 Active 107 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $273,900 Active 106 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $273,900 Active 104 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $273,900 Active 103 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $273,900 Active 102 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $273,900 Active 101 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $273,900 Active 98 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $273,900 Active 97 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $273,900 Active 96 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $273,900 Active 95 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $273,900 Active 94 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $273,900 Active 93 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$28,740
− Mortgage interest
−$17,770
− Property taxes
−$4,759
− Insurance
−$1,586
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,299
− Management
−$2,299
− Depreciation
−$9,229
Taxable loss
−$9,202
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,209
After-tax cash flow
$-1,395/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Three Rivers Community Schools
NCES district ID
2633840
Math proficiency
37% ▲ 1.00%
Reading proficiency
45% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$46,576
Composite
34.97/100
National rank
#5058
State rank
#200 of 540 in MI

Livability — Three Rivers

Score
70/100
State rank
#306
US rank
#7604

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings C-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Three Rivers, MI
Population (ZIP)
18,439

Population outlook (St. Joseph County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
58,726 people
By 2030
57,030 · -2.9%
By 2040
53,266 · -9.3%
By 2050
49,343 · -16.0%
By 2075
40,441 · -31.1%
By 2100
31,981 · -45.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (84%)
Race & ethnicity
White 84% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 5% Black 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4%
Common ancestry
Italian 11% Iranian 5% Romanian 3%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Joseph

2024 margin
Solid R (+34.0) · D 32.2% · R 66.2% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-31.8pp toward R · 2008: -2.2pp · 2024: -34.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+34.0 2020: R+31.7 2016: R+31.0 2012: R+12.3 2008: R+2.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -159.07%
Current HPI
226.5079
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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