2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,028 sqft ·
Built 1944
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 39 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$950/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$676
Tax + insurance
−$79
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$200
Net cashflow
$-5/mo
Annual
$-63/yr
Cap rate
6.24%
Cash-on-cash
-0.17%
DSCR
0.99
1% rule
0.74%
Cash to close
$36,120
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $129k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-5 ($-63/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $128k (0.7% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $95k (26.3% below list).
It's been on market 39 days — a 3% lower offer ($125k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $95k (26.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $217 of equity ($892 loan paydown + $-675 appreciation (-0.5% local appreciation)).
Location reads 62/100 on livability (#235 in TN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
Gibson County Sp District (rural): math 47% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #11 of 139 in TN (top 8%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Rutherford Elementary (math 42% / reading 37%, grade F, #231 of 952 statewide, top 26%, 282 students, 0% FRL); South Gibson County Middle School (math 58% / reading 42%, grade C, #20 of 333 statewide, top 6%, 800 students, 0% FRL); Gibson County High School (math 27% / reading 37%, grade F, #56 of 332 statewide, top 20%, 449 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 33% district-wide (33 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Watch-outs: built in 1944 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 22 active listings in the ZIP; 155 units permitted in Gibson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Gibson County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
2 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 39 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 26% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1944 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-8JT0A88RFMAEJ1
· Data 18 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29