2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,383 sqft ·
Built 1953
· SingleFamily
· Coming Soon
· 200 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,773/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,442
Tax + insurance
−$329
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$372
Net cashflow
$-370/mo
Annual
$-4,439/yr
Cap rate
4.68%
Cash-on-cash
-5.77%
DSCR
0.74
1% rule
0.65%
Cash to close
$76,972
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $275k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-370 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $210k (23.8% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $177k (35.5% below list).
It's been on market 200 days — a 12% lower offer ($242k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $177k (35.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $28k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $26k appreciation (9.5% local appreciation)).
Location reads 77/100 on livability (#78 in MD, #2,926 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, employment A-; Watch: amenities D+, crime F.
Baltimore County Public Schools (suburban): math 15% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #11 of 24 in MD (top 46%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Edmondson Heights Elementary (math 2% / reading 4%, grade F, #822 of 860 statewide, top 96%, 559 students, 70% FRL); Southwest Academy (math 6% / reading 34%, grade F, #147 of 225 statewide, top 68%, 739 students, 64% FRL); Woodlawn High (math 4% / reading 27%, grade F, #184 of 222 statewide, top 83%, 1,815 students, 63% FRL) — zoned schools average 66% FRL vs 39% district-wide (27 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: built in 1953 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.2%/yr); 131 active listings in the ZIP; 16 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 7d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,511 units permitted in Baltimore County in 2024 (643 in 5+ unit buildings).
Baltimore County population projected at +12% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
3 sale attempts since 28y ago; this cycle's ask is 293% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Current owner paid $73k; list at $275k implies a 277% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$45k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 24% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($67k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 200 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 35% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1953 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
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