1910 Park Pl · Woodlawn, MD
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $755 – $1,403
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 24.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +10.9/15.0
- Appreciation +9.8/10.0
- Cash flow +7.3/30.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.3/10.0
- 1% rule +1.5/10.0
- DSCR +1.4/10.0
$274,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- 5,000 sq ft lot
- Built 1953
- Listed 200 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $275k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-370 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $210k (23.8% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $177k (35.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $177k (35.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#78 in MD, #2,926 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, employment A-; Watch: amenities D+, crime F.
- Baltimore County Public Schools (suburban): math 15% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #11 of 24 in MD (top 46%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Edmondson Heights Elementary (math 2% / reading 4%, grade F, #822 of 860 statewide, top 96%, 559 students, 70% FRL); Southwest Academy (math 6% / reading 34%, grade F, #147 of 225 statewide, top 68%, 739 students, 64% FRL); Woodlawn High (math 4% / reading 27%, grade F, #184 of 222 statewide, top 83%, 1,815 students, 63% FRL) — zoned schools average 66% FRL vs 39% district-wide (27 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.2%/yr); 131 active listings in the ZIP; 16 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 7d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,511 units permitted in Baltimore County in 2024 (643 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($67k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $28k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $26k appreciation (9.5% local appreciation)).
- Baltimore County population projected at +12% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$45k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 200 days — a 12% lower offer ($242k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 28y ago; this cycle's ask is 293% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
- Current owner paid $73k; list at $275k implies a 277% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1953 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 24% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 200 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 35% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1953 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.65% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.68%
- Cash-on-cash
- -5.77%
- DSCR
- 0.74
- GRM
- 12.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $297,592
- List price
- $274,900
- Delta
- -7.63%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5321 Hutton Ave | 0.35mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,251 (-10%) | 12mo | $325,000 | $260 | 53 |
| 2304 Pickwick Rd | 0.67mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,440 (+4%) | 3mo | $360,000 | $250 | 52 |
| 2504 Parkview Rd | 0.69mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,292 (-7%) | 9mo | $312,500 | $242 | 43 |
| 11 Summerfield Rd | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,460 (+6%) | 14mo | $270,000 | $185 | 38 |
| 3 Northland Rd | 0.62mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,573 (+14%) | 11mo | $306,000 | $195 | 32 |
| 2328 Pickwick Rd | 0.68mi | 2/2.0 | 1,560 (+13%) | 20mo | $385,000 | $247 | 26 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
9.5% appreciation · 5.23% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 19.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.57×
- Total profit
- $120,802
- Equity at exit
- $237,681
- IRR
- 18.5%
- Equity multiple
- 5.95×
- Total profit
- $380,948
- Equity at exit
- $502,315
Cash invested: $76,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 27 Tenant-Leaning
- State Maryland
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 21207
- Home prices YoY
- 1.1%
- Rents YoY
- 5.2%
- Active inventory
- 131
- Price-to-rent
- 12.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,773 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,442
- Tax from tax record
- −$215 /mo · $2,576/yr
- Insurance
- −$115
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$372
- Net cashflow
- $-370
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-214 | -5% $-292 | +0% $-370 | +5% $-448 | +10% $-526 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-510 | -5% $-440 | +0% $-370 | +5% $-300 | +10% $-230 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-231 | -0.5pp $-300 | base $-370 | +0.5pp $-441 | +1.0pp $-514 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $68,725
- Closing costs
- $8,247
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 16 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Janper Ct Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.5 | 950 | $1,575 | $1.66 | 0d | 2 | 0.30mi |
| 5215 Muth Ave Gwynn Oak, MD | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1205 | $2,700 | $2.24 | 16d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 5136 Oaklawn Rd Gwynn Oak, MD | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0 | 896 | $1,502 | $1.68 | 0d | 21 | 0.61mi |
| 1546 Ingleside Ave Woodlawn, MD | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 820 | $1,600 | $1.95 | 0d | 3 | 0.76mi |
| 6330 Windsor Mill Rd Woodlawn, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,600 | $1.33 | 45d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 4998 W Forest Park Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 790 | $1,712 | $2.17 | 16d | 15 | 0.80mi |
| 5006 Windsor Mill Rd Baltimore, MD | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 776 | $1,534 | $1.98 | 0d | 18 | 0.81mi |
| 5533 Gwynn Oak Ave Fl 1 Gwynn Oak, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1080 | $1,600 | $1.48 | 45d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 1530 Kirkwood Rd Gwynn Oak, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1424 | $2,100 | $1.47 | 12d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 2 Walden Birch Ct Woodlawn, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1022 | $1,792 | $1.75 | 6d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 1 Duke of Windsor Ct Gwynn Oak, MD | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 775 | $1,666 | $2.15 | 0d | 21 | 1.19mi |
| 2 Mountbatten Ct Gwynn Oak, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $2,200 | $2.20 | 5d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 4738 Wakefield Rd Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 884 | $1,200 | $1.36 | 25d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 930 Masefield Rd Unit 1 Woodlawn, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1080 | $2,650 | $2.45 | 4d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 6463 Woodgreen Cir Gwynn Oak, MD | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1230 | $1,900 | $1.54 | 19d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 1 Kafern Dr Gwynn Oak, MD | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 765 | $1,604 | $2.10 | 5d | 8 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 23 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $274,900 Coming Soon 200 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $274,900 Coming Soon 197 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $274,900 Coming Soon 196 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $274,900 Coming Soon 195 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $274,900 Coming Soon 194 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $274,900 Coming Soon 192 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $274,900 Coming Soon 188 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $274,900 Coming Soon 187 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $274,900 Coming Soon 186 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $274,900 Coming Soon 183 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $274,900 Coming Soon 182 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $274,900 Coming Soon 181 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $274,900 Coming Soon 180 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $274,900 Coming Soon 179 DOM
-
2025-12-03historical $274,900
-
1999-11-01soldstatus $73,000
-
1999-10-07soldstatus $73,000
-
1999-08-26historical
-
1999-06-30$69,900
-
1999-02-01historical
-
1998-09-04
-
1998-08-02historical
-
1998-03-12
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MD · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,576 · $215/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,786 · $232/mo
- Expected delta
- +$210/yr (+$18/mo · 8.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 5/10 Major 24% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,280
- − Mortgage interest
- −$15,399
- − Property taxes
- −$2,576
- − Insurance
- −$1,374
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,702
- − Management
- −$1,702
- − Depreciation
- −$7,997
- Taxable loss
- −$9,471
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,273
- After-tax cash flow
- $-2,166/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Baltimore County Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2400120
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 34% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $66,746
- Composite
- 23.17/100
- National rank
- #7948
- State rank
- #11 of 24 in MD
Livability — Woodlawn
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #78
- US rank
- #2926
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Woodlawn, MD
- County
- Baltimore County · 769,527 people
- City population
- 49,599
- Metro
- Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
- Population (ZIP)
- 47,099
- Household income
- $67,060
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2139.0
Population outlook (Baltimore County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 885,518 people
- By 2030
- 909,272 · +2.7%
- By 2040
- 951,547 · +7.5%
- By 2050
- 990,955 · +11.9%
- By 2075
- 1,086,411 · +22.7%
- By 2100
- 1,135,078 · +28.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (78%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 78% White 8% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 5% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Swedish 1%
- Foreign-born
- 13% · Canada, Philippines, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Spanish 4% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Baltimore
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+24.5) · D 61.0% · R 36.5% · Other 2.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +9.9pp toward D · 2008: 14.6pp · 2024: 24.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+24.5 2020: D+27.0 2016: D+17.4 2012: D+16.4 2008: D+14.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 9.50%
- Current HPI
- 843.63
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.23%
- Metro
- Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.97%
- F500 in state
- 12
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 1 | $71B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
||
| Hotels | 1 | $24B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $7B |
|
||
| Real Estate | 1 | $6B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $2B |
|
||
Price history
+293.3% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2025-12-03 Coming Soon $274,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 1999-11-01 Sold (Public Records) $73,000 Public Records
- 1999-10-07 Sold (MLS) $73,000 MRIS
- 1999-08-26 Delisted — MRIS
- 1999-06-30 Listed $69,900 MRIS
- 1999-02-01 Delisted — MRIS
- 1998-09-04 Listed — MRIS
- 1998-08-02 Delisted — MRIS
- 1998-03-12 Listed — MRIS
Property tax history
+2.7%/yrLatest (2025): $2,576 · -10.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…