4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,971 sqft ·
Built 2026
· Manufactured
· Active
· 46 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,299/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,736
Tax + insurance
−$552
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$483
Net cashflow
$-472/mo
Annual
$-5,669/yr
Cap rate
4.58%
Cash-on-cash
-6.11%
DSCR
0.73
1% rule
0.69%
Cash to close
$92,716
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $250k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-472 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $230k (8.1% below list).
It's been on market 46 days — a 3% lower offer ($242k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $230k (8.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 82/100 on livability (#69 in FL, #1,163 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities C-, commute F.
Santa Rosa (suburban): math 63% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #8 of 73 in FL (top 11%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.5%/yr); 806 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 1,983 units permitted in Santa Rosa County in 2024 (128 in 5+ unit buildings).
Santa Rosa County population projected at +31% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($85k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 46 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 8% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-8KD87D7QQNEYXZ
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29