3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,352 sqft ·
Built 1989
· Manufactured
· Active
· 273 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,719/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$939
Tax + insurance
−$298
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$571
Net cashflow
$911/mo
Annual
$10,932/yr
Cap rate
12.40%
Cash-on-cash
21.81%
DSCR
1.97
1% rule
1.52%
Cash to close
$50,120
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $179k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $911 ($11k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $179k).
It's been on market 273 days — a 12% lower offer ($158k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $158k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 79/100 on livability (#109 in WA, #2,154 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, crime F, cost of living F.
Kent School District (urban): math 47% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #109 of 291 in WA (top 38%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Market conditions: Rents flat; 332 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 2d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 10,555 units permitted in King County in 2024 (7,119 in 5+ unit buildings).
King County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
5 sale attempts since 14y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $76k; list at $179k implies a 134% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.2% rent growth), your $50k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 12.4% vs local median 2.7% in Kent — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 273 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-8MJMCH3KNM33SE
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29