15410 SE 272nd St #16 · Kent, WA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $604 – $1,122
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 87°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 7/10 · Major
- Unhealthy air days now
- 12 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 13 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.8/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$179,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Soos Creek Mobile Estate! Don’t miss out on this opportunity to live in this ALL ages park. Home is situated on a desirable corner lot, this 1989 built, tastefully updated 3 bed 1.75 bath home of the Kent-Kangley Rd will bring you happiness. Home include newer interior paint, bamboo flooring, bathroom fixtures complimented with tile flooring. Brand NEW water heater. Brand NEW porch and a fence just installed. Kitchen for entertaining or to have all the cooks join in. Center island with extra deep dual S/S sinks, newer S/S Appliances. Partially fenced yard. 2 car covered carport with extra storage shed. Family friendly park, animals are allowed w/ restrictions. Brand new deck and fence
Key facts
- New water heater
- Tile flooring
- Bamboo flooring
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $179k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $911 ($11k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $179k).
- Recommended offer: $158k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.4% vs local median 2.7% in Kent — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 79/100 on livability (#109 in WA, #2,154 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, crime F, cost of living F.
- Kent School District (urban): math 47% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #109 of 291 in WA (top 38%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 332 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 2d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 10,555 units permitted in King County in 2024 (7,119 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- King County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.2% rent growth), your $50k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 273 days — a 12% lower offer ($158k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 14y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $76k; list at $179k implies a 134% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 273 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.52% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.40%
- Cash-on-cash
- 21.81%
- DSCR
- 1.97
- GRM
- 5.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $389,000
- List price
- $179,000
- Delta
- -53.98%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 8 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27404 149th Ave SE #62 | 0.34mi | 3/2.0 | 1,344 (-1%) | 9mo | $374,000 | $278 | 76 |
| 27515 150th Ln SE #143 | 0.32mi | 3/2.0 | 1,417 (+5%) | 2mo | $412,000 | $291 | 76 |
| 15016 SE 274th Pl #121 | 0.26mi | 3/2.0 | 1,356 (+0%) | 17mo | $425,000 | $313 | 73 |
| 15232 SE 272ND St SE #18 | 0.08mi | 3/2.0 | 1,440 (+6%) | 15mo | $165,000 | $115 | 73 |
| 15011 SE 274th Ln | 0.30mi | 3/2.0 | 1,440 (+6%) | 6mo | $374,950 | $260 | 70 |
| 27409 149th Ave SE | 0.36mi | 3/2.0 | 1,344 (-1%) | 16mo | $360,000 | $268 | 69 |
| 27422 149th Ave SE #59 | 0.35mi | 3/2.0 | 1,323 (-2%) | 16mo | $465,500 | $352 | 67 |
| 15410 SE 272nd St #67 | 0.16mi | 3/2.0 | 1,463 (+8%) | 15mo | $173,000 | $118 | 66 |
| 27484 149th Pl SE #81 | 0.36mi | 3/2.0 | 1,152 (-15%) | 1mo | $389,000 | $338 | 57 |
| 27479 150th Ave SE #104 | 0.34mi | 3/2.0 | 1,152 (-15%) | 4mo | $389,000 | $338 | 57 |
| 27460 149th Pl SE #85 | 0.34mi | 3/2.0 | 1,150 (-15%) | 9mo | $439,000 | $382 | 51 |
| 27427 149th Ave SE | 0.37mi | 3/2.0 | 1,152 (-15%) | 14mo | $339,000 | $294 | 47 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.19% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 11.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.43×
- Total profit
- $21,580
- Equity at exit
- $26,689
- IRR
- 17.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.29×
- Total profit
- $64,664
- Equity at exit
- $15,477
Cash invested: $50,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Washington
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 98042
- Rents YoY
- 0.2%
- Active inventory
- 332
- Price-to-rent
- 5.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,719 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$939
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$224 /mo · $2,685/yr
- Insurance
- −$75
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$571
- Net cashflow
- $911
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $44,750
- Closing costs
- $5,370
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 9 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14901 SE 272nd St Kent, WA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 900 | $2,326 | $2.58 | 1d | 15 | 0.30mi |
| 14200 SE 272nd St Kent, WA | 2.0 | 1.5–2.5 | 1550 | $2,866 | $1.85 | 1d | 4 | 0.83mi |
| 27403 141st Ave SE Kent, WA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 960 | $3,500 | $3.65 | 2d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 16830 SE Wax Rd Covington, WA | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 909 | $2,458 | $2.70 | 1d | 15 | 1.00mi |
| 17110 SE 276th St Covington, WA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 852 | $2,220 | $2.61 | 1d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 17126 SE 269th Pl Covington, WA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 956 | $2,587 | $2.71 | 1d | 15 | 1.08mi |
| 25437 167th Pl SE Covington, WA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1830 | $3,200 | $1.75 | 43d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 27400 132nd Ave SE Kent, WA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 842 | $2,095 | $2.49 | 1d | 7 | 1.34mi |
| 26520 175th Ave SE Covington, WA | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1590 | $3,149 | $1.98 | 12d | 1 | 1.40mi |
Listing history 25 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $179,000 Active 273 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $179,000 Active 272 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $179,000 Active 271 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $179,000 Active 270 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $179,000 Active 268 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $179,000 Active 264 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $179,000 Active 263 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $179,000 Active 262 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $179,000 Active 259 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $179,000 Active 258 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $179,000 Active 257 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $179,000 Active 256 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $179,000 Active 255 DOM
-
2026-02-09status Active
-
2026-02-04status Pending
-
2025-09-12$179,000 Active
-
2017-07-28soldstatus $76,500 Sold
-
2017-07-03status Pending Inspection
-
2017-03-10price $82,000
-
2016-12-21$85,000 Active
-
2012-10-12soldstatus $23,000 Sold
-
2012-07-26price $29,990
-
2012-07-26status Active
-
2012-07-09status Pending Inspection
-
2012-05-21$37,500 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥87°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 7/10 Severe 12 unhealthy d/yr today · 13 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $32,628
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,027
- − Property taxes
- −$2,685
- − Insurance
- −$895
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,610
- − Management
- −$2,610
- − Depreciation
- −$5,207
- Taxable income
- $8,594
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,063
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,870/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Kent School District
- NCES district ID
- 5303960
- Math proficiency
- 47% ▼ -1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 57% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $69,823
- Composite
- 48.25/100
- National rank
- #4714
- State rank
- #109 of 291 in WA
Livability — Kent
- Score
- 79/100
- State rank
- #109
- US rank
- #2154
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Kent, WA
- County
- King County · 2,251,916 people
- City population
- 119,479
- Metro
- Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
- Population (ZIP)
- 50,216
- Household income
- $127,552
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 892.0
Population outlook (King County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,576,485 people
- By 2030
- 2,803,316 · +8.8%
- By 2040
- 3,255,921 · +26.4%
- By 2050
- 3,706,444 · +43.9%
- By 2075
- 4,746,063 · +84.2%
- By 2100
- 5,407,730 · +109.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 62% Asian 13% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 12% Black 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 8%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 4% Subsaharan African 3% Italian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 19% · Canada, Vietnam, China
- Languages at home
- 75% English-only · Spanish 7% Russian/Polish/Slavic 4% Other Indo-European 3%
Political lean MEDSL · King
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+51.7) · D 74.2% · R 22.5% · Other 3.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +9.6pp toward D · 2008: 42.1pp · 2024: 51.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+51.7 2020: D+52.7 2016: D+50.4 2012: D+39.9 2008: D+42.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -635.61%
- Current HPI
- 297.7991
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.19%
- Metro
- Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.65%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 2 | $269B |
|
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| Technology / Retail | 1 | $638B |
|
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| Technology | 1 | $245B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 1 | $38B |
|
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| Food / Beverage | 1 | $36B |
|
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| Automotive / Trucks | 1 | $34B |
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Price history
+377.3% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-09 Relisted — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-04 Pending — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-09-12 Listed $179,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-07-28 Sold (MLS) $76,500 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-07-03 Pending — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-03-10 Price Changed $82,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-12-21 Listed $85,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2012-10-12 Sold (MLS) $23,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2012-07-26 Price Changed $29,990 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2012-07-26 Relisted — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2012-07-09 Pending — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2012-05-21 Listed $37,500 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…