CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
15410 SE 272nd St #16
B Composite 71.32
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.8/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$179,000

15410 SE 272nd St #16 · Kent, WA 98042
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,352 sqft · Manufactured · 273 Days on market
Built 1989 $132/sqft · 54% below area

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Soos Creek Mobile Estate! Don’t miss out on this opportunity to live in this ALL ages park. Home is situated on a desirable corner lot, this 1989 built, tastefully updated 3 bed 1.75 bath home of the Kent-Kangley Rd will bring you happiness. Home include newer interior paint, bamboo flooring, bathroom fixtures complimented with tile flooring. Brand NEW water heater. Brand NEW porch and a fence just installed. Kitchen for entertaining or to have all the cooks join in. Center island with extra deep dual S/S sinks, newer S/S Appliances. Partially fenced yard. 2 car covered carport with extra storage shed. Family friendly park, animals are allowed w/ restrictions. Brand new deck and fence

Key facts

  • New water heater
  • Tile flooring
  • Bamboo flooring

Tags

CORNER LOTNEWER INTERIOR PAINTBAMBOO FLOORINGBATHROOM FIXTURESTILE FLOORINGNEW WATER HEATER

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $179k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $911 ($11k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $179k).
  • Recommended offer: $158k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 12.4% vs local median 2.7% in Kent — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 79/100 on livability (#109 in WA, #2,154 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, crime F, cost of living F.
  • Kent School District (urban): math 47% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #109 of 291 in WA (top 38%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 332 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 2d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 10,555 units permitted in King County in 2024 (7,119 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • King County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.2% rent growth), your $50k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 273 days — a 12% lower offer ($158k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 14y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $76k; list at $179k implies a 134% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $157,520 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 273 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.52%
Cap rate
12.40%
Cash-on-cash
21.81%
DSCR
1.97
GRM
5.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$389,000
List price
$179,000
Delta
-53.98%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
8 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
27404 149th Ave SE #62 0.34mi 3/2.0 1,344 (-1%) 9mo $374,000 $278 76
27515 150th Ln SE #143 0.32mi 3/2.0 1,417 (+5%) 2mo $412,000 $291 76
15016 SE 274th Pl #121 0.26mi 3/2.0 1,356 (+0%) 17mo $425,000 $313 73
15232 SE 272ND St SE #18 0.08mi 3/2.0 1,440 (+6%) 15mo $165,000 $115 73
15011 SE 274th Ln 0.30mi 3/2.0 1,440 (+6%) 6mo $374,950 $260 70
27409 149th Ave SE 0.36mi 3/2.0 1,344 (-1%) 16mo $360,000 $268 69
27422 149th Ave SE #59 0.35mi 3/2.0 1,323 (-2%) 16mo $465,500 $352 67
15410 SE 272nd St #67 0.16mi 3/2.0 1,463 (+8%) 15mo $173,000 $118 66
27484 149th Pl SE #81 0.36mi 3/2.0 1,152 (-15%) 1mo $389,000 $338 57
27479 150th Ave SE #104 0.34mi 3/2.0 1,152 (-15%) 4mo $389,000 $338 57
27460 149th Pl SE #85 0.34mi 3/2.0 1,150 (-15%) 9mo $439,000 $382 51
27427 149th Ave SE 0.37mi 3/2.0 1,152 (-15%) 14mo $339,000 $294 47

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.19% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
11.3%
Equity multiple
1.43×
Total profit
$21,580
Equity at exit
$26,689
10-year hold
IRR
17.9%
Equity multiple
2.29×
Total profit
$64,664
Equity at exit
$15,477

Cash invested: $50,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
28 Tenant-Leaning
State Washington
28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Just-cause statewide (2021); Seattle layers rent control restrictions + relocation assistance; very tenant-friendly.

ZIP-level market 98042

Rents YoY
0.2%
Active inventory
332
Price-to-rent
5.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,719 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$939
Tax est. 1.5%
$224 /mo · $2,685/yr
Insurance
$75
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$571
Net cashflow
$911

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,566
Max offer price $179,000
Occupancy floor 62%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$44,750
Closing costs
$5,370
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 9 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
14901 SE 272nd St Kent, WA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 900 $2,326 $2.58 1d 15 0.30mi
14200 SE 272nd St Kent, WA 2.0 1.5–2.5 1550 $2,866 $1.85 1d 4 0.83mi
27403 141st Ave SE Kent, WA 3.0 1.5 960 $3,500 $3.65 2d 1 0.85mi
16830 SE Wax Rd Covington, WA 3.0 1.0–2.0 909 $2,458 $2.70 1d 15 1.00mi
17110 SE 276th St Covington, WA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 852 $2,220 $2.61 1d 1 1.04mi
17126 SE 269th Pl Covington, WA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 956 $2,587 $2.71 1d 15 1.08mi
25437 167th Pl SE Covington, WA 3.0 2.5 1830 $3,200 $1.75 43d 1 1.29mi
27400 132nd Ave SE Kent, WA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 842 $2,095 $2.49 1d 7 1.34mi
26520 175th Ave SE Covington, WA 4.0 1.5 1590 $3,149 $1.98 12d 1 1.40mi

Listing history 25 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $179,000 Active 273 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $179,000 Active 272 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $179,000 Active 271 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $179,000 Active 270 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $179,000 Active 268 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $179,000 Active 264 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $179,000 Active 263 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $179,000 Active 262 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $179,000 Active 259 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $179,000 Active 258 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $179,000 Active 257 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $179,000 Active 256 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $179,000 Active 255 DOM
  14. 2026-02-09
    status Active
  15. 2026-02-04
    status Pending
  16. 2025-09-12
    listed $179,000 Active
  17. 2017-07-28
    soldstatus $76,500 Sold
  18. 2017-07-03
    status Pending Inspection
  19. 2017-03-10
    price $82,000
  20. 2016-12-21
    listed $85,000 Active
  21. 2012-10-12
    soldstatus $23,000 Sold
  22. 2012-07-26
    price $29,990
  23. 2012-07-26
    status Active
  24. 2012-07-09
    status Pending Inspection
  25. 2012-05-21
    listed $37,500 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥87°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 7/10 Severe 12 unhealthy d/yr today · 13 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$32,628
− Mortgage interest
−$10,027
− Property taxes
−$2,685
− Insurance
−$895
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,610
− Management
−$2,610
− Depreciation
−$5,207
Taxable income
$8,594
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,063
After-tax cash flow
$8,870/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Kent School District
NCES district ID
5303960
Math proficiency
47% ▼ -1.00%
Reading proficiency
57% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$69,823
Composite
48.25/100
National rank
#4714
State rank
#109 of 291 in WA

Livability — Kent

Score
79/100
State rank
#109
US rank
#2154

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment A Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Kent, WA
County
King County · 2,251,916 people
City population
119,479
Metro
Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
Population (ZIP)
50,216
Household income
$127,552
Rent vs Own
17.7% rent · 82.3% own
Severe rent burden
892.0

Population outlook (King County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,576,485 people
By 2030
2,803,316 · +8.8%
By 2040
3,255,921 · +26.4%
By 2050
3,706,444 · +43.9%
By 2075
4,746,063 · +84.2%
By 2100
5,407,730 · +109.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
Race & ethnicity
White 62% Asian 13% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 12% Black 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 8%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 4% Subsaharan African 3% Italian 3%
Foreign-born
19% · Canada, Vietnam, China
Languages at home
75% English-only · Spanish 7% Russian/Polish/Slavic 4% Other Indo-European 3%

Political lean MEDSL · King

2024 margin
Solid D (+51.7) · D 74.2% · R 22.5% · Other 3.4%
2008→2024 swing
+9.6pp toward D · 2008: 42.1pp · 2024: 51.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+51.7 2020: D+52.7 2016: D+50.4 2012: D+39.9 2008: D+42.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -635.61%
Current HPI
297.7991
Rent YoY
▲ 0.19%
Metro
Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.65%
F500 in state
22

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+377.3% since first listed
12 events — show timeline
  • 2026-02-09 Relisted NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-04 Pending NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-09-12 Listed $179,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2017-07-28 Sold (MLS) $76,500 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2017-07-03 Pending NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2017-03-10 Price Changed $82,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-12-21 Listed $85,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2012-10-12 Sold (MLS) $23,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2012-07-26 Price Changed $29,990 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2012-07-26 Relisted NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2012-07-09 Pending NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2012-05-21 Listed $37,500 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…