2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,505 sqft ·
Built 1940
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 226 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,747/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,153
Tax + insurance
−$215
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$367
Net cashflow
$12/mo
Annual
$143/yr
Cap rate
6.36%
Cash-on-cash
0.23%
DSCR
1.01
1% rule
0.79%
Cash to close
$61,572
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $220k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $12 ($143/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $175k (20.5% below list).
It's been on market 226 days — a 12% lower offer ($194k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $175k (20.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-0.9%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Gadsden (rural): math 31% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #70 of 73 in FL (top 96%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 83% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 20 active listings in the ZIP; 107 units permitted in Gadsden County in 2024 (36 in 5+ unit buildings).
Gadsden County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
3 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $90k; list at $220k implies a 144% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 4.1% in Midway — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 226 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 21% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-8MZZXB95CK106E
· Data 1 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29