1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
668 sqft ·
Built 1963
· Condo
· Active
· 111 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$952/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$656
Tax + insurance
−$275
HOA
−$207
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$200
Net cashflow
$-385/mo
Annual
$-4,621/yr
Cap rate
3.23%
Cash-on-cash
-10.92%
DSCR
0.51
1% rule
0.76%
Cash to close
$35,000
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $125k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-385 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $69k (44.6% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $95k (23.8% below list).
It's been on market 111 days — a 9% lower offer ($114k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $69k (44.6% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 65/100 on livability (#140 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A-; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
Hot Springs School District (urban): math 24% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #195 of 238 in AR (top 82%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Hot Springs Junior Academy (math 20% / reading 29%, grade F, #166 of 201 statewide, top 84%, 815 students, 100% FRL, charter); Hot Springs World Class High School (math 12% / reading 24%, grade F, #252 of 292 statewide, top 87%, 739 students, 100% FRL, charter) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 72% district-wide (28 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; HOA is 22% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.4%/yr); 1128 active listings in the ZIP; 117 units permitted in Garland County in 2024 (24 in 5+ unit buildings).
Garland County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 111 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 45% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1963 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: Kitchen appliances
— Outdated and worn.
Major: Bathroom fixtures
— Worn and dated.
Major: Flooring
— Worn and in need of replacement.
Major: Interior walls and paint
— Worn and in need of fresh paint.
CashFlowRE · CFR-8NDYX3FFPB47Z9
· Data 15 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29