🏷️ Likely Rental
740 A-808 Weston Rd Rds Unit 808-A · Hot Springs, AR
Flood risk 10/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,499 – $2,785
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 9.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Cash flow +4.6/30.0
- Rent growth +4.1/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- 1% rule +2.6/10.0
- Schools +2.4/10.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- DSCR +0.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$125,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Lakefront opportunity on Lake Hamilton in Hot Springs! This 1-bedroom, 1-bath condo in Beacon Manor Condominiums, offering incredible potential for investors or buyers looking to customize their own lake retreat. Being sold as-is, where-is with no repairs. Beacon Manor offers a variety of amenities including a pool, pickleball and basketball courts, two reservable common rooms, a game room, commercial laundry facility, and multiple outdoor grilling areas. The building also features an elevator, freight elevator, trash chute, and backup generator for added convenience. HOA dues are $207.50/month and cover everything except water and electric. Includes one assigned covered parking space (B22) plus guest parking. Approved for STR- 3 night minimum. POA 15 Day right of Refusal. Unit requires updates including some appliances, and compliance with updated city requirements for balcony/HVAC configuration making it a perfect value-add opportunity in a sought-after lakefront location. Don’t miss your chance to transform this space into your ideal getaway or investment property!
Key facts
- Water views
- Included boat slip
- Variety of amenities
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $125k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-385 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $69k (44.6% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $95k (23.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $69k (44.6% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#140 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A-; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Hot Springs School District (urban): math 24% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #195 of 238 in AR (top 82%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Hot Springs Junior Academy (math 20% / reading 29%, grade F, #166 of 201 statewide, top 84%, 815 students, 100% FRL, charter); Hot Springs World Class High School (math 12% / reading 24%, grade F, #252 of 292 statewide, top 87%, 739 students, 100% FRL, charter) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 72% district-wide (28 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.4%/yr); 1128 active listings in the ZIP; 117 units permitted in Garland County in 2024 (24 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Garland County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 111 days — a 9% lower offer ($114k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; HOA is 22% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 111 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 45% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1963 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
- What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
- Any water-quality or seasonal algae-bloom issues that affect tenant satisfaction or short-term-rental demand?
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.76% ✗
- Cap rate
- 3.23%
- Cash-on-cash
- -10.92%
- DSCR
- 0.51
- GRM
- 10.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $276,566
- List price
- $125,000
- Delta
- -54.80%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.43% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -35.3%
- Equity multiple
- -0.18×
- Total profit
- $-41,198
- Equity at exit
- $18,638
- IRR
- -25.3%
- Equity multiple
- -0.48×
- Total profit
- $-51,743
- Equity at exit
- $10,808
Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arkansas
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 1 active · 2 under contract
- Median asking
- $240,000 ($359/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 35 d
- This list price
- lowest-priced of the active set
- ARV vs active asking
- +15.2% above current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 71913
- Home prices YoY
- -33.9%
- Rents YoY
- 6.4%
- Active inventory
- 1128
- Price-to-rent
- 10.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $952 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$656
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$156 /mo · $1,875/yr
- Insurance
- −$52
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$207
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$200
- Net cashflow
- $-385
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-299 | -5% $-342 | +0% $-385 | +5% $-428 | +10% $-471 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-460 | -5% $-423 | +0% $-385 | +5% $-347 | +10% $-310 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-322 | -0.5pp $-353 | base $-385 | +0.5pp $-417 | +1.0pp $-450 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $31,250
- Closing costs
- $3,750
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info
- Cash financing available
- HOA & community
- HOA fee $207.50 per month
Exterior
- Parking
- 1-car parkingAdditional parking (see remarks)
- Utilities
- Public sewerPublic waterElectricity: Municipal service (Entergy)
- Home design
- Other exterior features (see remarks)
- Construction
- Other foundation (see remarks)Other roof type (see remarks)
- Exterior features
- Lake viewLake frontPaved road accessSwimming pool(s)
Interior
- Kitchen
- Other kitchen equipment (see remarks)
- Flooring
- CarpetOther flooring (see remarks)
- Bathrooms
- 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling
- Other heating and cooling (see remarks)
- Interior features
- Carpet flooringOther interior features (see remarks)
HOA detail $207/mo · $2,484/yr condo
- Likely covers
- watertrashelectricpool
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-08-08days on market $125,000 Active 111 DOM
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2026-08-07days on market $125,000 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-08-06days on market $125,000 Active 109 DOM
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2026-08-05days on market $125,000 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-08-04days on market $125,000 Active 107 DOM
-
2026-08-03days on market $125,000 Active 106 DOM
-
2026-07-31days on market $125,000 Active 103 DOM
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2026-07-29days on market $125,000 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-07-27days on market $125,000 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-07-25days on market $125,000 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-07-23days on market $125,000 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-07-22days on market $125,000 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-07-21days on market $125,000 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-07-18days on market $125,000 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-07-16days on market $125,000 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-07-16days on market $125,000 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-07-14days on market $125,000 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-07-13days on market $125,000 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-07-12days on market $125,000 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-07-11days on market $125,000 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-07-10days on market $125,000 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-07-09days on market $125,000 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-07-08days on market $125,000 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-07-07days on market $125,000 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-07-06days on market $125,000 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-07-05days on market $125,000 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-07-04days on market $125,000 Active 76 DOM
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2026-07-03days on market $125,000 Active 75 DOM
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2026-07-02days on market $125,000 Active 74 DOM
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2026-07-01days on market $125,000 Active 73 DOM
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2026-06-30days on market $125,000 Active 72 DOM
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2026-06-29days on market $125,000 Active 71 DOM
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2026-06-28days on market $125,000 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-28days on market $125,000 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-27days on market $125,000 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-26days on market $125,000 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-23days on market $125,000 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-22days on market $125,000 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $125,000 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $125,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $125,000 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $125,000 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $125,000 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $125,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $125,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $125,000 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $125,000 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $125,000 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $125,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $125,000 Active 46 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 10/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 9% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,427
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,002
- − Property taxes
- −$1,875
- − Insurance
- −$1,422
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$914
- − Management
- −$914
- − HOA
- −$2,484
- − Depreciation
- −$3,636
- Taxable loss
- −$6,821
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,637
- After-tax cash flow
- $-2,983/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 14 photos
This condo requires moderate renovations to its kitchen and bathroom, as well as flooring and painting, to significantly increase its resale and rental value.
Repairs flagged
- Major Kitchen appliances — Outdated and worn.
- Major Bathroom fixtures — Worn and dated.
- Major Flooring — Worn and in need of replacement.
- Major Interior walls and paint — Worn and in need of fresh paint.
Value-add opportunities
- Resale Kitchen renovation — Modernizing the kitchen will attract more buyers. ↑
- Resale Bathroom renovation — Updating the bathroom will make the unit more appealing. ↑
- Both Flooring replacement — Fresh flooring will improve both resale and rental value. ↑
- Both Painting — Fresh paint will improve the overall appearance and value. ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Moderate scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hot Springs School District
- NCES district ID
- 0507890
- Math proficiency
- 24% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 25% ▼ -12.00%
- Median HH income
- $28,817
- Composite
- 19.62/100
- National rank
- #8746
- State rank
- #195 of 238 in AR
Livability — Hot Springs
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #140
- US rank
- #12498
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Hot Springs, AR
- County
- Garland County · 100,343 people
- City population
- 76,414
- Metro
- Hot Springs, AR
- Population (ZIP)
- 47,477
- Household income
- $56,010
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 8% of renters
Population outlook (Garland County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 100,343 people
- By 2030
- 101,880 · +1.5%
- By 2040
- 104,804 · +4.4%
- By 2050
- 107,292 · +6.9%
- By 2075
- 113,182 · +12.8%
- By 2100
- 112,247 · +11.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (79%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 79% Hispanic / Latino 8% Black 8% Two or more races 6% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 3% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 7% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Garland
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+36.2) · D 30.8% · R 67.0% · Other 2.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.3pp toward R · 2008: -25.0pp · 2024: -36.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+36.2 2020: R+34.0 2016: R+34.1 2012: R+29.9 2008: R+25.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -137.67%
- Current HPI
- 268.5228
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.43%
- Metro
- Hot Springs, AR
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.80%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 1 | $681B |
|
||
| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $53B |
|
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| Retail / Energy | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $12B |
|
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| Energy | 1 | $4B |
|
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Price history
+0.0% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-19 Listed $125,000 HSBOR
- 2026-04-14 Listed $125,000 CARMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…