3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,312 sqft ·
Built 1961
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 79 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,829/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,442
Tax + insurance
−$413
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$384
Net cashflow
$-410/mo
Annual
$-4,919/yr
Cap rate
4.50%
Cash-on-cash
-6.39%
DSCR
0.72
1% rule
0.67%
Cash to close
$77,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $275k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-410 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $203k (26.3% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $183k (33.5% below list).
It's been on market 79 days — a 6% lower offer ($258k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $183k (33.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $2k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $-58 appreciation (-0.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 73/100 on livability (#20 in VT, #4,932 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, health & safety A+, housing B+; Watch: schools C-, amenities F, commute F.
Market conditions: 96 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 339 units permitted in Windsor County in 2024 (240 in 5+ unit buildings).
Windsor County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $120k; list at $275k implies a 129% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Cap rate 4.5% vs local median 0.3% in Ludlow — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 79 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 33% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1961 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-8NYMEK5GYPHEFF
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29