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33 Pleasant Street Ext
D Composite 43.39
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +6.9/30.0
  • Appreciation +5.0/10.0
  • Schools +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +1.7/10.0
  • DSCR +1.2/10.0

$275,000

33 Pleasant Street Ext · Ludlow, VT 05149
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,312 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 79 Days on market
Built 1961 10,018 sqft lot $210/sqft · 28% below area Est $382k · 28% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Located in the Village Of Ludlow this turn key ranch has been a great second home/investment for the current owner. Situated on the the outskirts of town with a classic neighborhood feel and the comfort of locals nearby. Take in the Okemo views as soon as you set foot on the property with ample parking for guests in the circular driveway. Step into the recently renovated house to include windows, metal roof and updated interior. This easy keeper is fully equipped and has hardwood floors and bunk beds for the kids that will bring years of memories for the family. The bonus space is ready to be finished to add real value to the home. The plan is drafted for a primary ensuite bedroom with sitting room and a spacious family room. Come check out this village home today! It won't last long. ..

Key facts

  • Recently renovated
  • Okemo views
  • Circular driveway

Tags

CIRCULAR DRIVEWAYOKEMO VIEWSRECENTLY RENOVATEDHARDWOOD FLOORSPRIMARY ENSUITE BEDROOMSPACIOUS FAMILY ROOM

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $275k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-410 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $203k (26.3% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $183k (33.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $183k (33.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 4.5% vs local median 0.3% in Ludlow — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#20 in VT, #4,932 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, health & safety A+, housing B+; Watch: schools C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Market conditions: 96 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 339 units permitted in Windsor County in 2024 (240 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $2k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $-58 appreciation (-0.0% local appreciation)).
  • Windsor County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 79 days — a 6% lower offer ($258k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $120k; list at $275k implies a 129% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $182,931 (33.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 79 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 33% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1961 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.67%
Cap rate
4.50%
Cash-on-cash
-6.39%
DSCR
0.72
GRM
12.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$382,059
List price
$275,000
Delta
-28.02%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
13 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
69 Pleasant St 0.56mi 3/2.0 1,374 (+5%) 14mo $462,500 $337 51

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-0.02% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-9.6%
Equity multiple
0.55×
Total profit
$-34,429
Equity at exit
$79,560
10-year hold
IRR
-3.4%
Equity multiple
0.64×
Total profit
$-27,834
Equity at exit
$95,403

Cash invested: $77,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
41 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Vermont
41 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Just-cause in Burlington (2022); strong habitability.

ZIP-level market 05149

Home prices YoY
-0.0%
Active inventory
96
Price-to-rent
12.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,829 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,442
Tax from tax record
$298 /mo · $3,581/yr
Insurance
$115
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$384
Net cashflow
$-410

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,348
Max offer price $202,579
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-254 -5% $-332 +0% $-410 +5% $-488 +10% $-566
Rent -10% $-554 -5% $-482 +0% $-410 +5% $-338 +10% $-265
Rate -1.0pp $-271 -0.5pp $-340 base $-410 +0.5pp $-481 +1.0pp $-554

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$68,750
Closing costs
$8,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
50 Pleasant St Unit 3 Ludlow, VT 2.0 1.0 900 $1,650 $1.83 45d 1 0.65mi
211 W Main St Ludlow, VT 2.0 1.0 950 $2,100 $2.21 45d 1 1.04mi

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-05-31
    days on market $275,000 Active 79 DOM
  2. 2026-04-22
    price $275,000 799-char remark
    Show marketing remark (799 chars)

    Located in the Village Of Ludlow this turn key ranch has been a great second home/investment for the current owner. Situated on the the outskirts of town with a classic neighborhood feel and the comfort of locals nearby. Take in the Okemo views as soon as you set foot on the property with ample parking for guests in the circular driveway. Step into the recently renovated house to include windows, metal roof and updated interior. This easy keeper is fully equipped and has hardwood floors and bunk beds for the kids that will bring years of memories for the family. The bonus space is ready to be finished to add real value to the home. The plan is drafted for a primary ensuite bedroom with sitting room and a spacious family room. Come check out this village home today! It won't last long. ..

  3. 2026-03-12
    listed $285,000 Active 799-char remark
    Show marketing remark (799 chars)

    Located in the Village Of Ludlow this turn key ranch has been a great second home/investment for the current owner. Situated on the the outskirts of town with a classic neighborhood feel and the comfort of locals nearby. Take in the Okemo views as soon as you set foot on the property with ample parking for guests in the circular driveway. Step into the recently renovated house to include windows, metal roof and updated interior. This easy keeper is fully equipped and has hardwood floors and bunk beds for the kids that will bring years of memories for the family. The bonus space is ready to be finished to add real value to the home. The plan is drafted for a primary ensuite bedroom with sitting room and a spacious family room. Come check out this village home today! It won't last long. ..

  4. 2021-05-12
    soldstatus $120,000
  5. 2021-05-07
    soldstatus $120,000 Closed 325-char remark
    Show marketing remark (325 chars)

    This Ranch style home is located in a residential neighborhood and has been occupied by the same family from the time is was built in the early 60's. Though it was well loved for more than half a century, it is now ready for some upgrades and offers a lot of possibilities. There is a full basement and municipal water/sewer.

  6. 2021-01-27
    historical Active with Contract 325-char remark
    Show marketing remark (325 chars)

    This Ranch style home is located in a residential neighborhood and has been occupied by the same family from the time is was built in the early 60's. Though it was well loved for more than half a century, it is now ready for some upgrades and offers a lot of possibilities. There is a full basement and municipal water/sewer.

  7. 2021-01-23
    listed $145,000 Active 325-char remark
    Show marketing remark (325 chars)

    This Ranch style home is located in a residential neighborhood and has been occupied by the same family from the time is was built in the early 60's. Though it was well loved for more than half a century, it is now ready for some upgrades and offers a lot of possibilities. There is a full basement and municipal water/sewer.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast VT · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,581 · $298/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,403 · $367/mo
Expected delta
+$822/yr (+$69/mo · 23.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥87°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 5% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,952
− Mortgage interest
−$15,404
− Property taxes
−$3,581
− Insurance
−$1,375
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,756
− Management
−$1,756
− Depreciation
−$8,000
Taxable loss
−$9,921
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,381
After-tax cash flow
$-2,539/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

No district data.

Livability — Ludlow

Score
73/100
State rank
#20
US rank
#4932

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living B Crime A+ Employment D- Housing B+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

City population
2,171
Population (ZIP)
2,171

Population outlook (Windsor County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
53,235 people
By 2030
51,269 · -3.7%
By 2040
46,517 · -12.6%
By 2050
41,859 · -21.4%
By 2075
33,298 · -37.5%
By 2100
24,523 · -53.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (93%)
Race & ethnicity
White 93% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 10% Romanian 5% Russian 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Windsor

2024 margin
Solid D (+35.6) · D 66.3% · R 30.7% · Other 2.9%
2008→2024 swing
-4.1pp toward R · 2008: 39.7pp · 2024: 35.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+35.6 2020: D+38.9 2016: D+32.1 2012: D+38.1 2008: D+39.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▬ -0.02%
Current HPI
308.2671
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

+89.7% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-22 Price Changed $275,000 PrimeMLS
  • 2026-03-12 Listed $285,000 PrimeMLS
  • 2021-05-12 Sold (Public Records) $120,000 Public Records
  • 2021-05-07 Sold (MLS) $120,000 PrimeMLS
  • 2021-01-27 Contingent PrimeMLS
  • 2021-01-23 Listed $145,000 PrimeMLS

Property tax history

+10.0%/yr

Latest (2024): $3,581 · +12.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…