3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,020 sqft ·
Built 1900
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 34 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,023/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$614
Tax + insurance
−$205
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$215
Net cashflow
$-11/mo
Annual
$-128/yr
Cap rate
6.75%
Cash-on-cash
1.64%
DSCR
1.07
1% rule
0.87%
Cash to close
$32,760
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $117k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-11 ($-128/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $115k (1.6% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $102k (12.5% below list).
It's been on market 34 days — a 3% lower offer ($113k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $102k (12.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $809 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 79/100 on livability (#103 in IA, #2,053 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
Denison Community School District (town): math 61% / reading 64% proficiency, ranked #224 of 289 in IA (top 78%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 51 active listings in the ZIP; 18 units permitted in Crawford County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Crawford County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.8% vs local median 3.4% in Denison — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 34 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 13% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-8Q42X4B477HGNZ
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29