211 N 19th St · Denison, IA
Flood risk 7/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.97%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $902 – $1,676
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.4/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +5.3/10.0
- DSCR +4.7/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- 1% rule +3.7/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$117,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Ready to move into – this 3 bedroom home is cozy but bigger than it looks. Open concept living room and kitchen makes for a spacious area. Kitchen has ample cabinets, appliances and room for dining. 3 nice sized bedrooms and updated bath. Main floor laundry off kitchen with washer and dryer included. Updated windows, 1 car attached garage and level lot. Everything on one level and easy to maintain. Available now, move in and enjoy the summer.
Key facts
- 8,276 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1900
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached concrete garage (1 car)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric with circuit breakers
- Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property
- Construction: HardiPlank siding
- Exterior features: Shingle roof; Lot approximately 0.19 acres (75 x 110)
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Dishwasher; Refrigerator
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Window air conditioning units
- Interior features: Basement; Range, Dishwasher, Refrigerator, Washer, Dryer
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $117k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-11 ($-128/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $115k (1.6% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $102k (12.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $102k (12.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.8% vs local median 3.4% in Denison — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 79/100 on livability (#103 in IA, #2,053 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
- Denison Community School District (town): math 61% / reading 64% proficiency, ranked #224 of 289 in IA (top 78%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 51 active listings in the ZIP; 18 units permitted in Crawford County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $809 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Crawford County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 34 days — a 3% lower offer ($113k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 34 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 13% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.87% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.75%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.64%
- DSCR
- 1.07
- GRM
- 9.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $117,000
- List price
- $117,000
- Delta
- —
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 1 within 2.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 116 N 19th St | 0.06mi | 3/1.0 | 1,032 (+1%) | 2mo | $75,000 | $73 | 93 |
| 1911 2nd Ave S | 0.35mi | 3/1.0 | 1,055 (+3%) | 14mo | $128,000 | $121 | 67 |
| 21 S 17th St | 0.26mi | 3/1.0 | 1,075 (+5%) | 16mo | $76,000 | $71 | 66 |
| 616 N 18th St | 0.36mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 960 (-6%) | 8mo | $155,000 | $161 | 62 |
| 1428 2nd Ave S | 0.48mi | 3/2.0 | 1,056 (+4%) | 8mo | $65,000 | $62 | 61 |
| 1420 3rd Ave S | 0.55mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,040 (+2%) | 7mo | $115,000 | $111 | 60 |
| 2021 Ridgeway Dr | 0.36mi | 3/1.0 | 1,164 (+14%) | 1mo | $172,000 | $148 | 59 |
| 730 N 20th St | 0.47mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,052 (+3%) | 8mo | $175,000 | $166 | 59 |
| 210 S 24th St | 0.53mi | 3/2.0 | 1,064 (+4%) | 10mo | $185,000 | $174 | 56 |
| 222 S 15th St Unit C | 0.50mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,087 (+7%) | 14mo | $149,900 | $138 | 45 |
| 2618 1st Ave S | 0.62mi | 3/2.0 | 1,114 (+9%) | 10mo | $115,000 | $103 | 44 |
| 1331 5th Ave N | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 | 1,160 (+14%) | 10mo | $132,000 | $114 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -16.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.40×
- Total profit
- $-19,618
- Equity at exit
- $17,445
- IRR
- -8.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.45×
- Total profit
- $-17,871
- Equity at exit
- $10,116
Cash invested: $32,760 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Iowa
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 51442
- Home prices YoY
- -21.4%
- Active inventory
- 51
- Price-to-rent
- 9.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,023 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$614
- Tax from tax record
- −$101 /mo · $1,214/yr
- Insurance
- −$49
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$56 /mo · $666/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$215
- Net cashflow
- $-11
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $56 | -5% $22 | +0% $-11 | +5% $-44 | +10% $-77 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-92 | -5% $-51 | +0% $-11 | +5% $30 | +10% $70 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $48 | -0.5pp $19 | base $-11 | +0.5pp $-41 | +1.0pp $-72 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $29,250
- Closing costs
- $3,510
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 11 events
-
2026-06-09status $117,000 Pending 34 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $117,000 Active Under Contract 34 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $117,000 Active Under Contract 33 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $117,000 Active Under Contract 32 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $117,000 Active Under Contract 29 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $117,000 Active Under Contract 28 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $117,000 Active Under Contract 27 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $117,000 Active Under Contract 26 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $117,000 Active Under Contract 25 DOM
-
2026-05-08historical Active Under Contract 452-char remark
-
2026-05-04$117,000 Active 452-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,214 · $101/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,525 · $127/mo
- Expected delta
- +$311/yr (+$26/mo · 25.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 97% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,278
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,554
- − Property taxes
- −$1,214
- − Insurance
- −$1,252
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$982
- − Management
- −$982
- − Depreciation
- −$3,404
- Taxable loss
- −$2,109
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$506
- After-tax cash flow
- $378/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Denison Community School District
- NCES district ID
- 1908910
- Math proficiency
- 61% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 64% ▲ 3.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,505
- Composite
- 52.71/100
- National rank
- #1550
- State rank
- #224 of 289 in IA
Livability — Denison
- Score
- 79/100
- State rank
- #103
- US rank
- #2053
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Denison, IA
- City population
- 9,586
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,586
Population outlook (Crawford County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 17,186 people
- By 2030
- 17,322 · +0.8%
- By 2040
- 17,948 · +4.4%
- By 2050
- 18,955 · +10.3%
- By 2075
- 22,130 · +28.8%
- By 2100
- 25,483 · +48.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 48% Hispanic / Latino 43% Two or more races 21% Asian 3% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 22%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 3% Ukrainian 2% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 24% · Canada, Philippines, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 59% English-only · Spanish 36% Other Asian/Pacific 3% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Crawford
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+43.5) · D 27.8% · R 71.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -48.6pp toward R · 2008: 5.1pp · 2024: -43.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+43.5 2020: R+36.8 2016: R+38.2 2012: R+8.2 2008: D+5.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -50.48%
- Current HPI
- 185.0169
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.48%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $16B |
|
||
| Retail / Convenience | 1 | $15B |
|
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Price history
+0.0% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-15 Sold (MLS) $117,000 IAR
- 2026-06-08 Pending — IAR
- 2026-05-08 Contingent — IAR
- 2026-05-04 Listed $117,000 IAR
Property tax history
+0.7%/yrLatest (2025): $1,214 · -7.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…