2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
800 sqft ·
Built 1985
· Condo
· Active
· 127 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,061/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$970
Tax + insurance
−$735
HOA
−$850
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$433
Net cashflow
$-927/mo
Annual
$-11,120/yr
Cap rate
3.05%
Cash-on-cash
-11.59%
DSCR
0.48
1% rule
1.11%
Cash to close
$51,800
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $185k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-927 ($-11k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $174k (6.0% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $185k).
It's been on market 127 days — a 12% lower offer ($163k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $163k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#157 in TX, #4,282 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D, schools F, crime F.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo; HOA is 41% of rent.
Market conditions: 254 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,326 units permitted in Cameron County in 2024 (503 in 5+ unit buildings).
Cameron County population projected at +3% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 6→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 127 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
CashFlowRE · CFR-8QD69FCSMMZ32Y
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29