401 Island Ave Unit 60A · Port Isabel, TX
Flood risk 10/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- 1% rule +6.1/10.0
- ARV discount +5.6/15.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Cash flow +4.2/30.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +0.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$185,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
If you are looking a peaceful and serene area to live, this is the place!! This charming waterfront condo offers beautiful sunset views, access to a boat slip just a few steps from your door, an amazing, community pool with brick grills available perfect for your family gatherings, the private access gives you security and peace of mind in your daily life. A private storage unit is included to secure all your outdoor gear. Don't look further, schedule your private showing today!!
Key facts
- Community pool
- Waterfront condo
- Private storage unit
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $185k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-927 ($-11k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $174k (6.0% below list).
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $185k).
- Recommended offer: $163k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#157 in TX, #4,282 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D, schools F, crime F.
- Market conditions: 254 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,326 units permitted in Cameron County in 2024 (503 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Cameron County population projected at +3% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 127 days — a 12% lower offer ($163k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo; HOA is 41% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 6→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 127 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.11% ✓
- Cap rate
- 3.05%
- Cash-on-cash
- -11.59%
- DSCR
- 0.48
- GRM
- 7.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $177,666
- List price
- $185,000
- Delta
- 4.13%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 3 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -60.5%
- Equity multiple
- -0.70×
- Total profit
- $-88,181
- Equity at exit
- $27,584
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- -1.89×
- Total profit
- $-149,470
- Equity at exit
- $15,995
Cash invested: $51,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 78578
- Home prices YoY
- -21.7%
- Active inventory
- 254
- Price-to-rent
- 7.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,061 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$970
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$231 /mo · $2,775/yr
- Insurance
- −$77
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA est. from 2 same-building comps
- −$850
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$433
- Net cashflow
- $-927
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-799 | -5% $-863 | +0% $-927 | +5% $-991 | +10% $-1,055 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-1,089 | -5% $-1,008 | +0% $-927 | +5% $-845 | +10% $-764 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-833 | -0.5pp $-880 | base $-927 | +0.5pp $-975 | +1.0pp $-1,023 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $46,250
- Closing costs
- $5,550
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 10 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 401 Island Ave Unit 73B Port Isabel, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 872 | $1,600 | $1.83 | 44d | 1 | 0.02mi |
| 1009 Trout Ave Port Isabel, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1104 | $2,000 | $1.81 | 21d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 1009 Bass Ave Unit 3 Port Isabel, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 946 | $2,000 | $2.11 | 44d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 1506 Texas 100 Port Isabel, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 840 | $2,700 | $3.21 | 44d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 829 N Yturria St Unit 2 Port Isabel, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $2,200 | $2.44 | 21d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 121 E Madison St Port Isabel, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,900 | $1.90 | 44d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 515 W Clam Cir Unit 1515048P Port Isabel, TX | 2.0 | 1.5 | 796 | $2,916 | $3.66 | 21d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 123 Las Joyas Blvd Port Isabel, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 590 | $1,700 | $2.88 | 44d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 87 Abalone Cir Port Isabel, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 800 | $2,850 | $3.56 | 21d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 793 E Oyster Dr Unit 1515047P Port Isabel, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 775 | $3,113 | $4.02 | 14d | 1 | 1.41mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $0 · $0/yr
- Likely covers
- waterpoolsecurity
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $185,000 Active 127 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $185,000 Active 126 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $185,000 Active 125 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $185,000 Active 124 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $185,000 Active 122 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $185,000 Active 121 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $185,000 Active 119 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $185,000 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $185,000 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $185,000 Active 116 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $185,000 Active 112 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $185,000 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $185,000 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $185,000 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $185,000 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-02-11$189,000 Active 484-char remark
Show marketing remark (484 chars)
If you are looking a peaceful and serene area to live, this is the place!! This charming waterfront condo offers beautiful sunset views, access to a boat slip just a few steps from your door, an amazing, community pool with brick grills available perfect for your family gatherings, the private access gives you security and peace of mind in your daily life. A private storage unit is included to secure all your outdoor gear. Don't look further, schedule your private showing today!!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 10/10 Extreme FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 6 d/yr ≥106°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,735
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,363
- − Property taxes
- −$2,775
- − Insurance
- −$6,044
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,979
- − Management
- −$1,979
- − HOA
- −$10,200
- − Depreciation
- −$5,382
- Taxable loss
- −$13,986
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$3,357
- After-tax cash flow
- $-7,763/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This waterfront condo offers a good condition with a peaceful and serene location. It has a community pool and dock access, making it ideal for both resale and rental.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
- Both Landscaping improvements — Well-maintained landscaping enhances curb appeal and property value
- Both Pool cleaning and maintenance — A clean pool is a key amenity for both resale and rental
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Painting exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — Well-maintained landscaping enhances curb appeal and property value ↑
- Both Pool cleaning and maintenance — A clean pool is a key amenity for both resale and rental ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — Port Isabel
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #157
- US rank
- #4282
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Port Isabel, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 10,231
Population outlook (Cameron County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 441,603 people
- By 2030
- 448,113 · +1.5%
- By 2040
- 456,385 · +3.3%
- By 2050
- 456,294 · +3.3%
- By 2075
- 423,851 · -4.0%
- By 2100
- 342,787 · -22.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Hispanic (63%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 63% White 35% Two or more races 19%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 59%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Romanian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 18% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 57% English-only · Spanish 42%
Political lean MEDSL · Cameron
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+5.8) · D 46.7% · R 52.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -34.6pp toward R · 2008: 28.8pp · 2024: -5.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+5.8 2020: D+13.2 2016: D+32.5 2012: D+32.4 2008: D+28.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -61.69%
- Current HPI
- 222.9501
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-02-11 Listed $189,000 RGVMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…