2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,089 sqft ·
Built 1950
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 107 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$979/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$257
Tax + insurance
−$82
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$206
Net cashflow
$435/mo
Annual
$5,218/yr
Cap rate
16.94%
Cash-on-cash
38.03%
DSCR
2.69
1% rule
2.00%
Cash to close
$13,720
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $49k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $435 ($5k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($979 rent vs $49k).
It's been on market 107 days — a 9% lower offer ($45k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $45k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $2k of equity ($339 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (3.3% local appreciation)).
Location reads 52/100 on livability (#686 in NC) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
Greene County Schools (rural): math 25% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #151 of 178 in NC (top 85%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 77% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Greene County Intermediate (math 22% / reading 28%, grade F, #1,101 of 1,410 statewide, top 79%, 358 students, 99% FRL); Greene County Middle (math 21% / reading 32%, grade F, #381 of 475 statewide, top 81%, 680 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 99% FRL vs 77% district-wide (22 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 8 active listings in the ZIP; 52 units permitted in Greene County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Greene County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (3.3% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 107 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: Kitchen flooring
— Significant wear and tear, likely unsafe for continued use.
Major: Bathroom walls
— Signs of mold and mildew, likely requiring a full renovation.
Moderate: Exterior siding
— Weathered and discolored, may need repainting or replacement.
Moderate: Exterior windows
— Worn frames, may need replacement or repair.
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