1527 Hwy 123 S · Hookerton, NC
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $906 – $1,684
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +6.7/10.0
- Livability +2.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.4/10.0
$49,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This Farmhouse is ready for your creative touch. located on close to a 1/2 acre. Fully fenced it back yard with a carport/storage shed in the back yard. A quiet county setting surrounds this property. Whether you are a investor or a buyer looking for an affordable fixer upper, come see what this home has to offer.
Key facts
- Quiet county setting
- Carport storage shed
- 0.41 acre lot
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Unpaved parking
- Utilities: Water connected
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story; entry on level 1
- Construction: Wood siding and frame construction; Built as a one-level structure
- Exterior features: Wire fencing in the backyard; Shingle roof; Covered front and side porches
Interior
- Bedrooms: Total of 5 rooms (includes bedrooms and living spaces)
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Propane heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Crawl space basement; no finished basement; Has a view; Covered front and side porches
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $49k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $435 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($979 rent vs $49k).
- Recommended offer: $45k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 52/100 on livability (#686 in NC) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Greene County Schools (rural): math 25% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #151 of 178 in NC (top 85%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 77% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Greene County Intermediate (math 22% / reading 28%, grade F, #1,101 of 1,410 statewide, top 79%, 358 students, 99% FRL); Greene County Middle (math 21% / reading 32%, grade F, #381 of 475 statewide, top 81%, 680 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 99% FRL vs 77% district-wide (22 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 8 active listings in the ZIP; 52 units permitted in Greene County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $2k of equity ($339 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (3.3% local appreciation)).
- Greene County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (3.3% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 107 days — a 9% lower offer ($45k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 107 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.00% ✓
- Cap rate
- 16.94%
- Cash-on-cash
- 38.03%
- DSCR
- 2.69
- GRM
- 4.2
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.3% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 44.0%
- Equity multiple
- 3.51×
- Total profit
- $34,403
- Equity at exit
- $22,876
- IRR
- 43.6%
- Equity multiple
- 7.03×
- Total profit
- $82,720
- Equity at exit
- $35,925
Cash invested: $13,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Carolina
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 28538
- Home prices YoY
- 2.0%
- Active inventory
- 8
- Price-to-rent
- 4.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $979 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$257
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$61 /mo · $735/yr
- Insurance
- −$20
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$206
- Net cashflow
- $435
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $12,250
- Closing costs
- $1,470
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $49,000 Active 107 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $49,000 Active 106 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $49,000 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $49,000 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $49,000 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $49,000 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-06-13pricedays on market $49,000 Active 100 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $77,000 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $77,000 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $77,000 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $77,000 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $77,000 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $77,000 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $77,000 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $77,000 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $77,000 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $77,000 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-05-12price $98,000
-
2026-04-17price $115,000
-
2026-03-04$125,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,748
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,745
- − Property taxes
- −$735
- − Insurance
- −$245
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$940
- − Management
- −$940
- − Depreciation
- −$1,425
- Taxable income
- $4,718
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,132
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,085/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Greene County Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3701830
- Math proficiency
- 25% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 32% ▲ 2.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,566
- Composite
- 23.84/100
- National rank
- #7806
- State rank
- #151 of 178 in NC
Livability — Hookerton
- Score
- 52/100
- State rank
- #686
- US rank
- #24748
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,231
Population outlook (Greene County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 21,070 people
- By 2030
- 20,745 · -1.5%
- By 2040
- 19,582 · -7.1%
- By 2050
- 18,104 · -14.1%
- By 2075
- 14,181 · -32.7%
- By 2100
- 9,573 · -54.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 49% Black 40% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 6% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 7% Korean 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Greene
- 2024 margin
- R (+18.1) · D 40.7% · R 58.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -12.2pp toward R · 2008: -5.9pp · 2024: -18.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+18.1 2020: R+11.9 2016: R+9.8 2012: R+7.7 2008: R+5.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 3.30%
- Current HPI
- 172.0828
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 26
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 2 | $213B |
|
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| Retail | 2 | $95B |
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| Industrial Conglomerate | 1 | $38B |
|
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $30B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 1 | $19B |
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Price history
-21.6% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-12 Price Changed $98,000 Hive MLS
- 2026-04-17 Price Changed $115,000 Hive MLS
- 2026-03-04 Listed $125,000 Hive MLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…