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1527 Hwy 123 S
B Composite 74.14
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +6.7/10.0
  • Livability +2.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.4/10.0

$49,000

1527 Hwy 123 S · Hookerton, NC 28538
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,089 sqft · SingleFamily · 107 Days on market
Built 1950 0.41 ac lot ↓ 22% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

This Farmhouse is ready for your creative touch. located on close to a 1/2 acre. Fully fenced it back yard with a carport/storage shed in the back yard. A quiet county setting surrounds this property. Whether you are a investor or a buyer looking for an affordable fixer upper, come see what this home has to offer.

Key facts

  • Quiet county setting
  • Carport storage shed
  • 0.41 acre lot

Tags

FULLY FENCED BACK YARDCARPORT STORAGE SHEDQUIET COUNTY SETTING

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Unpaved parking
  • Utilities: Water connected
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story; entry on level 1
  • Construction: Wood siding and frame construction; Built as a one-level structure
  • Exterior features: Wire fencing in the backyard; Shingle roof; Covered front and side porches

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Total of 5 rooms (includes bedrooms and living spaces)
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Propane heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Crawl space basement; no finished basement; Has a view; Covered front and side porches

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $49k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $435 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($979 rent vs $49k).
  • Recommended offer: $45k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 52/100 on livability (#686 in NC) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Greene County Schools (rural): math 25% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #151 of 178 in NC (top 85%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 77% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Greene County Intermediate (math 22% / reading 28%, grade F, #1,101 of 1,410 statewide, top 79%, 358 students, 99% FRL); Greene County Middle (math 21% / reading 32%, grade F, #381 of 475 statewide, top 81%, 680 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 99% FRL vs 77% district-wide (22 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 8 active listings in the ZIP; 52 units permitted in Greene County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $2k of equity ($339 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (3.3% local appreciation)).
  • Greene County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (3.3% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 107 days — a 9% lower offer ($45k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $44,590 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 107 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.00%
Cap rate
16.94%
Cash-on-cash
38.03%
DSCR
2.69
GRM
4.2

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.3% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
44.0%
Equity multiple
3.51×
Total profit
$34,403
Equity at exit
$22,876
10-year hold
IRR
43.6%
Equity multiple
7.03×
Total profit
$82,720
Equity at exit
$35,925

Cash invested: $13,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Carolina
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

ZIP-level market 28538

Home prices YoY
2.0%
Active inventory
8
Price-to-rent
4.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$979 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$257
Tax est. 1.5%
$61 /mo · $735/yr
Insurance
$20
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$206
Net cashflow
$435

Break-even live

Break-even rent $429
Max offer price $49,000
Occupancy floor 51%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$12,250
Closing costs
$1,470
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $49,000 Active 107 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $49,000 Active 106 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $49,000 Active 105 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $49,000 Active 104 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $49,000 Active 103 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $49,000 Active 101 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    pricedays on market $49,000 Active 100 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $77,000 Active 98 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $77,000 Active 97 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $77,000 Active 96 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $77,000 Active 95 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $77,000 Active 92 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $77,000 Active 91 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $77,000 Active 90 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $77,000 Active 89 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $77,000 Active 88 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $77,000 Active 87 DOM
  18. 2026-05-12
    price $98,000
  19. 2026-04-17
    price $115,000
  20. 2026-03-04
    listed $125,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,748
− Mortgage interest
−$2,745
− Property taxes
−$735
− Insurance
−$245
− Repairs & maintenance
−$940
− Management
−$940
− Depreciation
−$1,425
Taxable income
$4,718
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,132
After-tax cash flow
$4,085/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Greene County Schools
NCES district ID
3701830
Math proficiency
25% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
32% ▲ 2.00%
Median HH income
$38,566
Composite
23.84/100
National rank
#7806
State rank
#151 of 178 in NC

Livability — Hookerton

Score
52/100
State rank
#686
US rank
#24748

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing C Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
2,231

Population outlook (Greene County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
21,070 people
By 2030
20,745 · -1.5%
By 2040
19,582 · -7.1%
By 2050
18,104 · -14.1%
By 2075
14,181 · -32.7%
By 2100
9,573 · -54.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
Race & ethnicity
White 49% Black 40% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 6% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 7% Korean 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Greene

2024 margin
R (+18.1) · D 40.7% · R 58.8%
2008→2024 swing
-12.2pp toward R · 2008: -5.9pp · 2024: -18.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+18.1 2020: R+11.9 2016: R+9.8 2012: R+7.7 2008: R+5.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 3.30%
Current HPI
172.0828
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-21.6% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-12 Price Changed $98,000 Hive MLS
  • 2026-04-17 Price Changed $115,000 Hive MLS
  • 2026-03-04 Listed $125,000 Hive MLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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