2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
3,328 sqft ·
Built 1979
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 29 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,996/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,098
Tax + insurance
−$330
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$629
Net cashflow
$-61/mo
Annual
$-728/yr
Cap rate
6.11%
Cash-on-cash
-0.65%
DSCR
0.97
1% rule
0.75%
Cash to close
$112,000
Investor read
This is a 3 × 1-bed/?-bath units multifamily listed at $400k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-61 ($-728/yr) — negative. Per door: $-20/mo.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $389k (2.7% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $300k (25.1% below list).
It's been on market 29 days — a 2% lower offer ($394k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $300k (25.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 68/100 on livability (#51 in WY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
Natrona County School District #1 (urban): math 44% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #32 of 41 in WY (top 78%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: 45 active listings in the ZIP; 310 units permitted in Natrona County in 2024 (104 in 5+ unit buildings).
Natrona County population projected at +46% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.1% vs local median 10.1% in Evansville — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-8RZB0ZERHAQDRR
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29