4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,985 sqft ·
Built 1915
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 135 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,560/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$625
Tax + insurance
−$90
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$328
Net cashflow
$517/mo
Annual
$6,207/yr
Cap rate
11.50%
Cash-on-cash
18.60%
DSCR
1.83
1% rule
1.31%
Cash to close
$33,376
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $119k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $517 ($6k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $119k).
It's been on market 135 days — a 12% lower offer ($105k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $105k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $824 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 63/100 on livability (#434 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
Northeast School Corporation (rural): math 29% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #228 of 301 in IN (top 76%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Northeast North Elementary School (math 37% / reading 32%, grade F, #597 of 994 statewide, top 63%, 228 students, 66% FRL); North Central Jr/Sr High School (math 12% / reading 32%, grade F, #343 of 369 statewide, top 93%, 374 students, 55% FRL) — zoned schools average 61% FRL vs 44% district-wide (17 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: built in 1915 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 19 active listings in the ZIP; 4 units permitted in Sullivan County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Sullivan County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
7 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $102k; 17% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $33k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 135 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1915 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-8S2AQKD5K74QV4
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29